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Does Government Dependency Influence Voting Behavior?
American Thinker ^ | 10/24/2013 | David Waciski

Posted on 10/24/2013 8:08:32 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

Alexis de Tocqueville once prophesied "The American Republic will endure until the day Congress discovers that it can bribe the public with the public's money." The Left vehemently denies that their social spending is anything but altruistic. Any correlation between federal spending on individual aid and voting behavior would reveal this altruism to be politically self-serving.

The Left's denial (e.g., Klein, Matthews, Altman, Ponnuru) is often based on state-level observations and Moran has claimed that red states receive greater benefit from federal spending than blue states.The Right (e.g., Bauer and Romney) innately believes that federal largesse buys votes, but has provided little empirical data to back up their belief. Rayne has astutely countered claims of red state welfare, but has not addressed the issue of the influence of social spending on voting behavior.

The 2012 election results have been data mined to determine if a measurable correlation exists between social spending and voting behavior and demonstrate why state-level correlations are misleading. Accurate accounting of the influence of socioeconomic factors on voting behavior will be critical for the 2014 midterm and 2016 election strategies, as well as understanding the political dynamics of current issues including:the fight over federal spending; the expanding welfare, food stamp, and/or disability recipients; immigration reform/amnesty; and ObamaCare.

One key element of obtaining meaningful information from statistical analysis is the determination of the proper sample size. Large sample sizes can obscure trends that are obvious in smaller, more homogeneous subsets. Thus, it should not be unexpected that observations drawn from a statewide basis could mask correlations that exist on a much more local precinct basis. As Tip O'Neill once said "all politics is local."

(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: government; voting; welfare
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1 posted on 10/24/2013 8:08:33 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Does a bear drop a smelly Obama in the woods?


2 posted on 10/24/2013 8:11:14 AM PDT by Mr. K (Lies, Damned Lies, Statistics, and then Democrat Talking Points.)
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To: SeekAndFind

He who robs Peter to pay Paul, will always get Paul’s vote.


3 posted on 10/24/2013 8:12:13 AM PDT by dfwgator
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To: SeekAndFind
SOCIALIST# 1 : “HMMMM...If we control the media and make it sound like the Republicans are greedy and evil AND we give our voters free stuff and money, do you think they'll vote for us?”

Socialist# 2 “It's so crazy, it might just work!”

4 posted on 10/24/2013 8:13:25 AM PDT by PATRIOT1876
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To: SeekAndFind

Do we have a Kenyan in the White House?


5 posted on 10/24/2013 8:13:36 AM PDT by Huskrrrr
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To: SeekAndFind

The Left vehemently denies that their social spending is anything but altruistic.


Why would they lie?...


6 posted on 10/24/2013 8:14:22 AM PDT by hosepipe (This propaganda has been edited to include some fully orbed hyperbole..)
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To: Mr. K

Is the pope still Catholic?

Is global warming still a scam?

Does a witch weight the same as a duck?


7 posted on 10/24/2013 8:14:39 AM PDT by PATRIOT1876
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To: SeekAndFind

8 posted on 10/24/2013 8:15:03 AM PDT by Paladin2
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To: hosepipe

“Social Justice”: “We’re telling you to do what we say Jesus said and having the government make sure you do it.”


9 posted on 10/24/2013 8:17:07 AM PDT by TurboZamboni (Marx smelled bad & lived with his parents most his life.)
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To: SeekAndFind

What a rediculous question.

Of course it does.

Does your ability to get food, shelter, and basic necessities influence you decisions?

If you are dependent on someone for those very basic necessities, and are born into an environment where for 2-3 generations your entire family was dependent on someone...for grins sake let’s just say it was your local Conregessional Representative and Senator...who were making these things available to you, would that influence your vote?

Do you think for an instant you would consider voting for someone who came along and said you were actually going to have to work hard for, or do something more to keep getting what you have been used to getting your entire life?

The answer is obvious...and those answeres tell you how insidious a condition that the liberals, socialistss, progressives, compasisonat consewrvatives, whatever you want to label them have created to ensure their own hold on power.

Problem is...there comes a tipping point where the people who are actually working and have the self respect and underlying moral foundations to be involved in productive, honest labor, are not numerous enough to continue to support the perverted system these power mongers have created. when that point is reached, it all comes tumbling down and it gets really ugly. That’s where we are headed...soon.

America at the Crossroads of History
http://www.jeffhead.com/crossroads.htm


10 posted on 10/24/2013 8:18:16 AM PDT by Jeff Head
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To: SeekAndFind

If you had the mentality of a 9 yr old,
who would you vote for?

The Dentist or the Easter Bunny?


11 posted on 10/24/2013 8:18:26 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
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To: SeekAndFind
When your policy is to rob Peter to pay Paul, you can depend upon the enthusiastic support of Paul.
12 posted on 10/24/2013 8:19:23 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Who knew that one day professional wrestling would be less fake than professional journalism?)
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To: SeekAndFind

This plot demonstrates the voting for 0bama tends to cause one to receive gov't "assistance".

Interesting analysis.

13 posted on 10/24/2013 8:21:14 AM PDT by Paladin2
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To: SeekAndFind
Does Government Dependency Influence Voting Behavior?


14 posted on 10/24/2013 8:21:36 AM PDT by Servant of the Cross (the Truth will set you free)
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To: SeekAndFind

If I put up a bird feeder will I get squirrels?


15 posted on 10/24/2013 8:23:34 AM PDT by CrazyIvan (Obama phones= Bread and circuits.)
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To: SeekAndFind
For example, several precincts were dominated by universities and produced strong support for President Obama, but these precincts had low percentages of households receiving federal assistance (at least as counted by the Census database parameter ID B19058).

I would debate this point. Student loans are government assistance. The university staff are mostly government employees. The local economy depends on this infusion of government subsidies. I think this actually strengthens the authors conclusions.

16 posted on 10/24/2013 8:25:20 AM PDT by trubolotta
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To: trubolotta

Lottsa students are apparently getting Food Stamps.


17 posted on 10/24/2013 8:26:54 AM PDT by Paladin2
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To: trubolotta

Government spending is a misallocation of resources, it might seem to “help” the local economy but it is false. You take $100 out of the economy and think government putting $15 back in, where it decides and not where the market decides, and applaud that your community is now $15 richer.

It’s bogus.


18 posted on 10/24/2013 8:27:19 AM PDT by GeronL
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To: SeekAndFind

I live in Maryland dude, NUFF said??


19 posted on 10/24/2013 8:27:37 AM PDT by sickoflibs (To GOP : Any path to US Citizenship IS putting them ahead in line. Stop lying about your position)
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To: SeekAndFind

When the voters receive 50.1% of the benefits it’s over. The voters will keep voting themselves a pay raise every time.


20 posted on 10/24/2013 8:27:52 AM PDT by DownInFlames
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