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Exit poll: Merkelís party strongest in German election; coalition partnerís chances unclear
washingtonpost.com ^ | September 22, 2013 | Associated Press

Posted on 09/22/2013 9:29:47 AM PDT by Berlin_Freeper

BERLIN — An exit poll indicates that Chancellor Angela Merkel’s conservatives have emerged by far the strongest force in Germany’s election, though it’s unclear whether her coalition partners will stay in parliament.

The ARD television exit poll put support for Merkel’s Union bloc at 42 percent. But it put her coalition partners, the pro-business Free Democrats, on 4.7 percent — just below the minimum to keep their seats.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Germany; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: angelamerkel; germany

1 posted on 09/22/2013 9:29:47 AM PDT by Berlin_Freeper
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To: Berlin_Freeper
1623 GMT: "Up seven points on an increased turnout -- even if she loses the FDP, Merkel has given a lesson to the rest of Europe," tweets Frédéric Happe.

A fantastic result for the CDU, but the SPD's second worst result of all time.

#CDU seen two seats short of parliamentary majority #BTW13

2 posted on 09/22/2013 9:35:26 AM PDT by Berlin_Freeper
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To: Berlin_Freeper

If a party fails to register 5%, are the seats apportioned to those parties that have over 5%? That is, if Merkel’s party has 42%, and 20% of the vote is divided among parties that fail to reach 5%, does that mean that Merkel’s party will control greater than 50% of the seats? (42% of 80%?)


3 posted on 09/22/2013 9:40:36 AM PDT by Cowboy Bob (They are called "Liberals" because the word "parasite" was already taken.)
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To: Berlin_Freeper
Merkel wins in Germany, 'grand coalition' likely: exit polls
BERLIN: Chancellor Angela Merkel clinched a third term in German elections on Sunday but will be forced to form an awkward coalition with her chief rivals to govern Europe's top economy, exit polls indicated.

Voters rewarded Merkel, often called the world's most powerful woman, with another four years at the helm for steering them unscathed through the eurozone debt turmoil that engulfed its southern flank.

But in one of the tightest races in German history, they punished her pro-business partner, the Free Democrats, kicking them out of parliament for the first time since 1949, according to the exit polls on public television.

The upstart anti-euro party AfD appeared to fall just short of the five-percent hurdle to representation amid anger over German contributions to bailout packages for stricken eurozone partners.

Under Germany's complex electoral maths, the result means the most likely scenario will be a left-right "grand coalition" between Merkel's Christian Democrats and their traditional opponents, the centre-left Social Democrats (SPD), which scored around 26 percent.

4 posted on 09/22/2013 9:43:41 AM PDT by Berlin_Freeper
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To: Cowboy Bob
If a party fails to register 5%, are the seats apportioned to those parties that have over 5%?
Less than 5% gets no seats.
5 posted on 09/22/2013 9:47:54 AM PDT by Berlin_Freeper
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To: Berlin_Freeper

Yep, looks like a ‘Grand Coalition’.

FDP seems to be fading into electoral oblivion.


6 posted on 09/22/2013 9:52:30 AM PDT by AnAmericanAbroad (It's all bread a nd circuses for the future prey of the Morlocks.)
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To: AnAmericanAbroad

RIGHT NOW ABSOLUTE MAJORITY PREDICTION - JUST IN!


7 posted on 09/22/2013 9:59:58 AM PDT by Berlin_Freeper
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To: Berlin_Freeper
Latest projections still have #AfD at 4.9%. Wld give Merkel's party absolute majority. #btw13
8 posted on 09/22/2013 10:04:26 AM PDT by Berlin_Freeper
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To: Berlin_Freeper
UPDATE 4-Merkel romps to victory in German election
* Chancellor has outside chance of absolute majority
9 posted on 09/22/2013 10:13:54 AM PDT by Berlin_Freeper
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To: Berlin_Freeper
Is "FDP seems to be fading into electoral oblivion" a good thing?

Not very familiar with German politics or political parties, just asking.

10 posted on 09/22/2013 10:17:48 AM PDT by Prov3456
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To: Berlin_Freeper
Breaking News: Merkel's conservatives on track for absolute majority in parliament - voting projection
11 posted on 09/22/2013 10:18:45 AM PDT by Berlin_Freeper
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To: Berlin_Freeper

That’s one hell of a trick in German politics; congratulations to the Chancellor.

Absolute majority is damned hard to pull off, electorally speaking.


12 posted on 09/22/2013 10:19:07 AM PDT by AnAmericanAbroad (It's all bread a nd circuses for the future prey of the Morlocks.)
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To: Prov3456

Normally we like them, less taxes and for free market. In the past they switched sides so they have shifty reputation and some weird leaders like a gay and another was nazi.


13 posted on 09/22/2013 10:22:53 AM PDT by Berlin_Freeper
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To: AnAmericanAbroad

I prayed for this.
Still developing though.


14 posted on 09/22/2013 10:24:46 AM PDT by Berlin_Freeper
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To: Berlin_Freeper
Chancellor Angela Merkel told her supporters, "This is a super result," after exit polls suggested a triumphant election win for her party.

Merkel Close to Absolute Majority After German Election

Merkel on track to clear absolute majority in German elections

Merkel's conservatives on track for absolute majority - projection

15 posted on 09/22/2013 10:39:11 AM PDT by Berlin_Freeper
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To: AnAmericanAbroad

bump


16 posted on 09/22/2013 10:43:59 AM PDT by GeronL
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To: Berlin_Freeper

The media forecasts were wrong, I am so shocked. not.


17 posted on 09/22/2013 10:44:50 AM PDT by GeronL
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To: AnAmericanAbroad

forget the coalition, go for the majority


18 posted on 09/22/2013 10:45:58 AM PDT by GeronL
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To: Berlin_Freeper

Are they as shifty and all things to all people like the PRI in Mexico or the LDP in Japan?


19 posted on 09/22/2013 10:46:55 AM PDT by GeronL
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To: Cowboy Bob

Springtime for Merkel and Germany.


20 posted on 09/22/2013 10:47:45 AM PDT by dfwgator
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To: Berlin_Freeper

People from Germany please weigh in...are these developments good for conservatives in Germany or not?


21 posted on 09/22/2013 10:48:07 AM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: GeronL

I need to study those.


22 posted on 09/22/2013 10:50:21 AM PDT by Berlin_Freeper
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To: Berlin_Freeper
Germany election: Could Merkel edge an absolute majority?

Merkel may win absolute majority, exit polls show

Merkel coalition wins absolute majority, ZDF TV says

23 posted on 09/22/2013 11:03:28 AM PDT by Berlin_Freeper
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To: Berlin_Freeper
BERLIN (Assciated Press) — Chancellor Angela Merkel's conservatives triumphed in Germany's election Sunday, and could even win the first single party majority in more than 50 years.
24 posted on 09/22/2013 11:15:34 AM PDT by Berlin_Freeper
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To: Berlin_Freeper

so all the doom and gloom reporting was meant to suppress her supporters?


25 posted on 09/22/2013 11:16:06 AM PDT by GeronL
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To: GeronL

It’s close but by historic proportion - they never told people that.
The press will never stop trying to put the fix in.


26 posted on 09/22/2013 11:33:37 AM PDT by Berlin_Freeper
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To: Berlin_Freeper

Excellent news to my historical homeland.


27 posted on 09/22/2013 11:34:59 AM PDT by Zathras
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To: Berlin_Freeper

AFP’s Deborah Cole says it is likely to be early Monday before we know for sure whether Merkel has won an outright majority.

The German Chancellor is steering clear of referring to one at this stage but her tone was positive when she spoke at CDU headquarters earlier.

“The party leadership will discuss everything when we have a final result but we can already celebrate tonight,” she told delighted supporters.


28 posted on 09/22/2013 11:54:45 AM PDT by Berlin_Freeper
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To: Berlin_Freeper

bump


29 posted on 09/22/2013 12:08:44 PM PDT by GeronL
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To: SamAdams76
People from Germany please weigh in...are these developments good for conservatives in Germany or not?

Hard to say. Merkel is the exponent of go-along-get-along 'conservatism' (i.e., *not* conservatism). She's responsible for quite a few devastating decisions in recent years - first and foremost, IMO, the decision to abandon nuke power in favor of pipe-dream 'green power', and the blatently illegal 'bail-outs' of the PIGS etc. Social conservatism? Fergettaboutit. Homos rule. *barf*

Speculating, the favored outcome would force her into a coalition with the AfD, which might put a damper on Euro-centrism. Unlikely to happen, as it stands. Final tally tomorrow.

On the upside, the leftist spectrum got a kick in the nuts, though not heftily enough.

30 posted on 09/22/2013 12:48:09 PM PDT by Moltke (Sapere aude!)
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; cardinal4; ColdOne; ...

Thanks Berlin_Freeper.
The ARD television exit poll put support for Merkel's Union bloc at 42 percent. But it put her coalition partners, the pro-business Free Democrats, on 4.7 percent -- just below the minimum to keep their seats.
IOW, different day, slightly different ka-ka.


31 posted on 09/22/2013 4:36:27 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (It's no coincidence that some "conservatives" echo the hard left.)
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To: Berlin_Freeper

Any possibility that the Social Democrats, the Greens and the Left will form a coalition and take over?


32 posted on 09/22/2013 5:21:27 PM PDT by Truth29
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To: Truth29

The Social Democrats both before and after the results came in said they most definitely will not join with the Left.


33 posted on 09/22/2013 10:34:35 PM PDT by Berlin_Freeper
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