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Crumble: The Disastrous Obamacare Delay
Townhall.com ^ | July 3, 2013 | Guy Benson

Posted on 07/03/2013 2:24:42 PM PDT by jazusamo


Katie covered the breaking news last evening -- a classic bad news dump on the front end of a long holiday weekend. The administration is out of luck if it hopes their major announcement will disappear amidst hot dogs and parades; we'll be talking about this move for the next year-and-a-half:


The Obama administration will delay a crucial provision of its signature health-care law, giving businesses an extra year to comply with a requirement that they provide their workers with insurance. The government will postpone enforcement of the so-called employer mandate until 2015, after the congressional elections, the administration said yesterday. Under the provision, companies with 50 or more workers face a fine of as much as $3,000 per employee if they don’t offer affordable insurance. It’s the latest setback for a health-care law that has met resistance from Republicans, who have sought to make the plan a symbol of government overreach. Republican-controlled legislatures and governors in several states have refused funding to expand Medicaid coverage for the poor and declined to set up exchanges where individuals can buy insurance , leaving the job to the federal government. The delay in the employer mandate addresses complaints from business groups to President Barack Obama’s administration about the burden of the law’s reporting requirements.


If the White House had listened to business owners before passing this law, they wouldn't be mopping up their own mess today because Obamacare wouldn't exist. This development also marks the death of Democrats' bogus "Republican obstructionism" excuse-making. (It was always bogus because (a) the exclusively Democrat-written and -passed law allowed states to opt out of setting up exchanges, and (b) the mandatory Medicaid expansion element was struck down by seven Supreme Court justices). Now we have the Obama administration delaying a ( second ) major component of its own law due to a combination of incompetence, admitted economic harm and political considerations. Swing and a drive...

Gov. Bobby Jindal @BobbyJindal


You know things are bad when you can’t even successfully implement your own bad ideas.

So what happens next? Read Mary Katharine Ham's list of questions is a good place to start, as is Avik Roy's analysis of the immediate implications. A few additional thoughts:

(1) The administration is admitting that the employer mandate will have a detrimental effect on the economy and on hiring. How does adding another year of gray-area and uncertainty rectify those problems, even if the reporting requirements are tightened up a bit? Forty-one percent of business owners polled by Gallup said they're in hiring freeze mode, and nearly 20 percent have actually jobs. Another year of this status-quo morass helps how, exactly?

(2) If large businesses are getting an on-the-fly waiver, why shouldn't every single citizen get extended relief from the individual mandate tax? This is the law's least popular element, so Republicans should flog this point.

(3) Speaking of on-the-fly decisions, the law's language clearly sets an implementation date for the employer mandate, which the president is simply ignoring. Do presidents now have the power to ignore, delay, waive, or suspend significant portions of democratically-enacted laws, at least in part to address of rank political concerns?

(4) A lot of conservatives are arguing that this is little more than a naked attempt to shuffle the consequences of Obamacare beyond yet another election. If this is a major part of the administration's calculus, I'm not sure if it'll add up the way they hope. While the delay may alleviate some potential snags on the jobs front, it will likely incentivize many mandate-free businesses to dump employees into the government exchanges. This will place significant logistical and financial strains on the exchanges, which are also behind schedule in many states. Yuval Levin sketches out another glaring exchange-related problem:


Under the law, eligibility for exchange subsidies depends on an individual not receiving an affordable offer of qualified insurance from an employer. If employers will now not be required to report on their insurance offerings in 2014, I don’t see how the government will be able to determine eligibility for subsidies, and therefore how the exchanges will be able to function. Making subsidies available without proof of eligibility would be very expensive and destabilizing to the insurance system, and would also require the retraction of such subsidies if the employer mandate ever does return. Coming up with other ways to prove eligibility would be very difficult at this late stage (as exchanges are supposed to start operating in three months), and would also be totally lawless...

So millions of Americans will be shoved into a nascent, unstable exchange system, which very well may not be operational in time -- with no reasonable method of determining subsidy eligibility for many of them. And subsidies will matter more than ever, considering the epidemic of Obamacare premium shocks sweeping the country. I'm unclear on how this scenario will be particularly beneficial to Democrats in 2014. Republicans have also been handed an extra year to relentlessly point out how the law is unsustainable, messy, unaffordable, and bad for Americans. They'll call for additional delays and repeal. They'll hammer Obamacare throughout 2014, with spillover into at least 2015. In short, the administration is guaranteeing that the dysfunction of Obamacare will remain a viable and relevant political issue for the GOP for years to come. Democrats' push-back on this has been beyond feeble. They have no good arguments.

The White House is mired in a competency crisis, and the president's approval rating continues to suffer. The administration's problems are snowballing; Obamacare's weak numbers will very likely deteriorate even further. I'll leave you with CBS News analyzing the announcement this morning. Not much sugarcoating here:


VIDEO: CBS' John Dickerson: Obamacare Roll Out Appears "Barely Operational"



UPDATE

Guy Benson @guypbenson


Remember when Democrats announced their 2014 strategy was to "own it"?

:


I sure do
. Good plan.



TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Crime/Corruption; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2014election; 2016election; corruption; democrats; dictator; election2014; election2016; littledictator; obama; obamacare

1 posted on 07/03/2013 2:24:42 PM PDT by jazusamo
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To: jazusamo
Image Hosted by ImageShack.us

Now watch what happens when that trainload of illegal aliens shows up.
2 posted on 07/03/2013 2:26:41 PM PDT by cripplecreek (REMEMBER THE RIVER RAISIN!)
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To: jazusamo
Do presidents now have the power to ignore, delay, waive, or suspend significant portions of democratically-enacted laws, at least in part to address of rank political concerns?

Only Democrats.

3 posted on 07/03/2013 2:28:12 PM PDT by Jeff Chandler (Harriet Meiers is looking pretty good right about now.)
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To: cripplecreek; Jeff Chandler
BTTT!!
4 posted on 07/03/2013 2:29:30 PM PDT by jazusamo ("Mercy to the guilty is cruelty to the innocent." -- Adam Smith)
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To: cripplecreek
Oobamacare:

http://m.youtube.com/watch?v=03Nq632eV6I

5 posted on 07/03/2013 2:29:55 PM PDT by wny
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To: wny

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zLf6pp5Tvk8


6 posted on 07/03/2013 2:31:49 PM PDT by cripplecreek (REMEMBER THE RIVER RAISIN!)
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To: Jeff Chandler
If I were a potential Republican candidate for president, I would get up and say, that if I were elected president, I would hereby delay Obamacare for fifty years.
7 posted on 07/03/2013 2:34:33 PM PDT by fhayek
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To: jazusamo

I hear-tell that the funds we will owe the government for healthcare will come out of our tax refunds. Has anyone else heard this?


8 posted on 07/03/2013 2:35:54 PM PDT by Slyfox (Without the Right to Life, all other rights are meaningless.)
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To: Jeff Chandler

Why do we continue to stand back and allow Obama to do things that are glaringly in violation of the Constitution?

Is there no one who will/can call him out? This move is hugely in violation of the Constitution and ,what, the Republicans are so busy gloating that they have overlooked the fact that the President doesn’t have that power?

So, we are going into Independence Day this year with a dictator? That’s really going to spoil my picnic...


9 posted on 07/03/2013 2:36:40 PM PDT by MWestMom (Psalms 109:8)
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To: MWestMom

What is a Republican?

Aren’t they extinct?


10 posted on 07/03/2013 2:40:18 PM PDT by stephenjohnbanker (The RINO/amnesty argument goes like this: 1) If we pander to Hispanics, we will save the GOP, at le)
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To: MWestMom

Representative Steve King of Iowa has said that Obama has to come to Congress if he wants to do this (http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3038779/posts). Good for him. I wonder what will come of this. I WANT them to force Obama to implement this. If it were to be done, let it be done quickly. Let Obama stew in his own Obamacare juices.


11 posted on 07/03/2013 2:41:20 PM PDT by fhayek
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To: stephenjohnbanker

It’s looking more and more like it, SLB.


12 posted on 07/03/2013 2:42:15 PM PDT by jazusamo ("Mercy to the guilty is cruelty to the innocent." -- Adam Smith)
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Please bump the Freepathon or click above and donate or become a monthly donor!

13 posted on 07/03/2013 2:43:20 PM PDT by jazusamo ("Mercy to the guilty is cruelty to the innocent." -- Adam Smith)
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To: jazusamo

Yes, here is an excellent opportunity for the Repubs to hammer 0bama and his oppressive agenda real good. But, we have a problem. The Repub Establishment.

Example: George Bush was given a political Royal Flush, and he just did what Repubs do best. NOTHING. The voters gave him TWO terms, BOTH houses, and all the support he needed to put the Rats away for a decade or more. And what did we get? NOTHING. So here is a classic example of Repub objectives and effectiveness. Anything but serving the people as the opposition party — just getting what they can out of DC.

They need to be replaced.


14 posted on 07/03/2013 2:45:25 PM PDT by EagleUSA
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To: jazusamo

It’s already been made known that the nation’s terrorists in black robes will ensure that this comes into full force regardless of how much damage it will do to us,the great unwashed.The day will come when we envy the people of Britain,who are forced to pull their own teeth because they can’t get an appointment with a government dentist.


15 posted on 07/03/2013 2:47:38 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (The Civil Servants Are No Longer Servants...Or Civil.)
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To: MWestMom

Because Boehner has the backbone of a soggy noodle.


16 posted on 07/03/2013 2:56:33 PM PDT by 21st Century Crusader (August 26, 1191)
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To: MWestMom

The interesting thing is that while the employer mandate is delayed, which would have led to mass layoffs, the INDIVIDUAL mandate is still in effect.
So employers can dump your benefits, but you still have to have insurance or pay a fine.


17 posted on 07/03/2013 3:08:25 PM PDT by tbw2
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To: cripplecreek

18 posted on 07/03/2013 3:13:47 PM PDT by 4Liberty (Some on our "Roads & Bridges" head to the beach. Others head to their offices, farms, libraries....)
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To: cripplecreek

19 posted on 07/03/2013 3:14:13 PM PDT by 4Liberty (Some on our "Roads & Bridges" head to the beach. Others head to their offices, farms, libraries....)
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To: Gay State Conservative

It’s all part of the grand socialist plan. Bring the current medical system thundering down. Destroy every insurance company. CRASH!

The low-information voters will wander dazed and confused among the apocalyptic ruins. They will not look not for the classic Adam Smith free market system but for free health care. They will call for a National Health Service, like in England, where the evil rich are forced to pick up the tab.

One day, a savior will ride down from the mountain top on a white steed. He will offer nirvana. Just take a ticket and get in line for your free surgery. Pretty soon we will be pulling our own teeth.


20 posted on 07/03/2013 3:15:24 PM PDT by heye2monn
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To: cripplecreek

21 posted on 07/03/2013 3:15:53 PM PDT by 4Liberty (Some on our "Roads & Bridges" head to the beach. Others head to their offices, farms, libraries....)
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To: jazusamo

Brian Williams gave it 15 seconds Wednesday night.


22 posted on 07/03/2013 3:58:51 PM PDT by Eric in the Ozarks (NRA Life Member)
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