Skip to comments.Bureau of Labor Statisitcs - US hourly Wages Fall At Fastest Pace Since 1947 First Quarter
Posted on 06/23/2013 8:24:29 AM PDT by lbryce
Economic News Release
SHARE ON: share on facebook share on twitter share on linkedin First Quarter 2013, Revised
Transmission of material in this release is embargoed until USDL 13-1101 8:30 a.m. (EDT) Wednesday, June 5, 2013
Technical information: (202) 691-5606 firstname.lastname@example.org www.bls.gov/lpc Media contact (202) 691-5902 PressOffice@bls.gov
PRODUCTIVITY AND COSTS First Quarter 2013, Revised
Nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased at a 0.5 percent annual rate during the first quarter of 2013, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. The increase in productivity reflects increases of 2.1 percent in output and 1.6 percent in hours worked. (All quarterly percent changes in this release are seasonally adjusted annual rates.) From the first quarter of 2012 to the first quarter of 2013, productivity increased 0.9 percent as output and hours worked increased 2.4 percent and 1.5 percent, respectively. (See table A.)
Labor productivity, or output per hour, is calculated by dividing an index of real output by an index of hours worked of all persons, including employees, proprietors, and unpaid family workers.
Unit labor costs in nonfarm businesses fell 4.3 percent in the first quarter of 2013, the combined effect of a 3.8 percent decrease in hourly compensation and the 0.5 percent increase in productivity. The decline in hourly compensation is the largest in the series, which begins in 1947. However, over the last four quarters hourly compensation increased 2.0 percent and unit labor costs rose 1.1 percent. (See table A.)
BLS defines unit labor costs as the ratio of hourly compensation to labor productivity; increases in hourly compensation tend to increase unit labor costs and increases in output per hour tend to reduce them.
Manufacturing sector productivity increased 3.5 percent in the first quarter of 2013, as output rose 5.3 percent and hours worked increased 1.8 percent. In the durable and nondurable manufacturing sectors, productivity increased 3.5 percent and 3.9 percent, respectively. From the first quarter of 2012 to the first quarter of 2013, manufacturing sector productivity rose 1.6 percent as output grew 2.5 percent and hours rose 0.9 percent. Unit labor costs in manufacturing decreased 10.0 percent in the first quarter of 2013, due to both the 3.5 percent increase in productivity and a 6.9 percent decrease in hourly compensation. Over the last four quarters, hourly compensation increased 4.5 percent and unit labor costs increased 2.8 percent. (See tables A and 3.)
Preliminary first-quarter 2013 measures were announced today for the nonfinancial corporate sector. Productivity increased 0.3 percent in the first quarter as output and hours increased 3.3 percent and 3.0 percent, respectively. Output per hour rose 0.6 percent over the last four quarters. (See tables C and 6.)
The concepts, sources, and methods underlying manufacturing output and nonfinancial corporate output measures differ from those used in the business and nonfarm business output series; these output measures are not directly comparable. See Technical Notes for a more detailed explanation.
The measures released today are based on more recent source data than were available for the preliminary report. Revisions were also based on corrections to hours worked and related measures for the business and nonfarm business sectors for the first quarter of 2013. (See text box.)
Tables B and C present previous and revised productivity and related measures for the major sectors: business, nonfarm business, and manufacturing sectors, as well as the nonfinancial corporate sector.
In the first quarter of 2013, nonfarm business productivity growth increased 0.5 percent, down slightly from the preliminary estimate, as output was revised downward more than hours worked. Unit labor costs were revised downward due solely to the large downward revision to hourly compensation. In the business sector, output per hour was revised upward for the first quarter of 2013, due primarily to correction of an hours calculation error. The error principally affected the farm sector, which is part of the business sector. In the manufacturing sector, productivity increased 3.5 percent in first-quarter 2013, slightly less than reported May 2. Manufacturing unit labor costs fell much more than previously reported due to a large downward revision to hourly compensation.
In the fourth quarter of 2012, nonfarm business and business sector productivity were unrevised from the preliminary release May 2. Productivity was revised upward slightly in the manufacturing sector. In contrast to the first-quarter 2013 revisions, large upward revisions to hourly compensation in fourth-quarter 2012 drove large upward revisions to unit labor costs in all sectors.
In the nonfinancial corporate sector, fourth-quarter productivity growth was revised upwards due solely to an upward revision in output; hours were unrevised. (See table C.) ____________
The preliminary Productivity and Costs press release for second-quarter 2013 is scheduled to be released on Friday, August 16, 2013 at 8:30 a.m. (EDT)
============================================================================== Productivity and Costs Data Corrections
The Productivity and Costs data released on May 2 contained incorrect hours worked and related measures, including labor productivity, for the business and nonfarm business sectors for the first quarter of 2013. Todays news release incorporates corrected hours data in addition to other source data that have been revised. Preliminary measures will not be re-released. ==============================================================================
====================================================================================================== Table A. Revised first-quarter 2013 measures: percent change from previous quarter at annual rate (Q to Q) and from same quarter a year ago (Y to Y)
Sector Nonfarm Durable Nondurable Business Business Manufacturing Manufacturing Manufacturing Q to Q Y to Y Q to Q Y to Y Q to Q Y to Y Q to Q Y to Y Q to Q Y to Y ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Productivity 0.5 0.9 2.0 1.2 3.5 1.6 3.5 2.7 3.9 0.5 Output 2.1 2.4 3.1 2.4 5.3 2.5 6.4 3.8 4.2 1.2 Hours 1.6 1.5 1.1 1.2 1.8 0.9 2.8 1.0 0.2 0.7 Hourly compensation -3.8 2.0 -3.1 2.3 -6.9 4.5 -8.1 5.4 -4.9 2.7 Real hourly compensation -5.2 0.3 -4.6 0.6 -8.3 2.8 -9.4 3.6 -6.4 1.0 Unit labor costs -4.3 1.1 -5.0 1.1 -10.0 2.8 -11.2 2.6 -8.5 2.3 ====================================================================================================== Table B. Revised and previous measures: first quarter 2013 and fourth quarter 2012
Sector Nonfarm Durable Nondurable Business Business Manufacturing Manufacturing Manufacturing Revised Previous Revised Previous Revised Previous Revised Previous Revised Previous ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Percent change, annual rate, first quarter 2013
Productivity 0.5 0.7 2.0 1.2 3.5 3.8 3.5 3.7 3.9 4.6 Output 2.1 2.5 3.1 3.3 5.3 5.6 6.4 6.5 4.2 4.7 Hours 1.6 1.8 1.1 2.1 1.8 1.7 2.8 2.7 0.2 0.1 Hourly compensation -3.8 1.2 -3.1 0.9 -6.9 3.3 -8.1 3.0 -4.9 3.7 Real hourly compensation -5.2 -0.3 -4.6 -0.6 -8.3 1.8 -9.4 1.4 -6.4 2.2 Unit labor costs -4.3 0.5 -5.0 -0.3 -10.0 -0.5 -11.2 -0.6 -8.5 -0.8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Percent change, annual rate, fourth quarter 2012
Productivity -1.7 -1.7 -1.6 -1.6 2.4 2.2 3.3 3.3 1.4 1.0 Output 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.5 2.7 2.6 3.8 3.8 1.5 1.2 Hours 2.4 2.4 2.1 2.1 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 Hourly compensation 9.9 2.7 10.2 3.0 16.7 0.4 19.0 0.2 12.4 0.6 Real hourly compensation 7.5 0.4 7.8 0.8 14.2 -1.8 16.4 -2.0 10.0 -1.6 Unit labor costs 11.8 4.4 12.0 4.7 14.0 -1.8 15.2 -3.0 10.9 -0.4 ====================================================================================================== Table C. Nonfinancial corporations: preliminary first-quarter 2013 and revised fourth-quarter 2012 productivity and cost measures
Real Hourly hourly Unit Implicit Produc- compen- compen- labor Unit price tivity Output Hours sation sation costs profits deflator ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Percent change, annual rate, first quarter 2013
Q to Q 0.3 3.3 3.0 -1.2 -2.7 -1.5 -6.3 -0.2 Y to Y 0.6 2.2 1.6 2.5 0.8 1.9 0.5 1.4
Percent change, annual rate, fourth quarter 2012
Revised 5.6 7.5 1.8 7.1 4.7 1.4 1.8 -0.6 Previous 2.3 4.1 1.8 1.5 -0.7 -0.7 5.2 -0.6
Technical notes Table 1. Business sector: Productivity, hourly compensation, unit labor costs, and prices, seasonally adjusted Table 2. Nonfarm business sector: Productivity, hourly compensation, unit labor costs, and prices, seasonally adjusted Table 3. Manufacturing sector: Productivity, hourly compensation, and unit labor costs, seasonally adjusted Table 4. Durable manufacturing sector: Productivity, hourly compensation, and unit labor costs, seasonally adjusted Table 5. Nondurable manufacturing sector: Productivity, hourly compensation, and unit labor costs, seasonally adjusted Table 6. Nonfinancial corporate sector: Productivity, hourly compensation, unit labor costs, unit profits, and prices, seasonally adjusted Sources and footnotes for tables HTML version of the entire news release
The PDF version of the news release Table of Contents
As Karl Denninger noted with great fury a few weeks ago, this kind of nationwide reduction in average hourly wages is itself equivalent to an increase in unemployment.
We’re entering a deflationary period and this is the first sign.
Obama continues to get everything he hoped for.
So just how much economic devastation has to occur in the U.S. economy before you open your eyes to what unrestricted trade causes.
I suppose now you’ll suggest that they should import more to raise the employment numbers. Or maybe you’ll suggest that since total household wealth didn’t fall, that falling wages don’t matter. Wake up!!!
Us boomers are typically better educated, have higher wages, pay more taxes and will be replaced with third world immigrants.
“When prices rise, that is a sign that the economy is strengthening” - Ben Bernanke
OR, it’s a sign that too much liquidity is being pumped into the economy to prop it up.
Summer of recovery #4! Yea!
When I see Shadowstats.com unemployment falling, then I'll believe the economy is recovering. But even that wouldn't necessarily be a good recovery. Real wages are falling, eventually labor supply will equal labor demand again. The question is at what wage.
Osama Obama’s turned us into a nation of the “disabled” and part-timers.
Was this caused by rich white people to?
It’s known that being a teacher doesn’t mean you’re smart or even educated. This guy is neither.
Price rises will not stick or even be attempted if real wages are actually dropping.
"...how much economic devastation has to occur in the U.S. economy before you open your eyes..."
Weekends are a great time for hyperventilating --enjoy!
When everyone gets finished running around circles I'd be grateful if someone could tell me where that headline came from. I mean, the post didn't mention wages, the link didn't, and the BLS numbers have--
-- private hourly wages at an all time high.
First people didn't care because it wasn't them. Then they didn't care because cheap foreign goods compensated for declines in wages.
Now most people are in denial, as they adjust their lives to something far different than the original promise and potential of the US.
It’s deferred unemployment in a way. When people have there pay cut, they only buy the necessary things.
Do that to large amount of people and unemployment rises.
Or and Government tax revenues take a big hit.
"Unit labor costs in nonfarm businesses fell 4.3 percent in the first quarter of 2013, the combined effect of a 3.8 percent decrease in hourly compensation and the 0.5 percent increase in productivity. The decline in hourly compensation is the largest in the series, which begins in 1947." - article
Your graph doesn't show a 3.8% quarter to quarter decline so your series is either year to year changes or not what the BLS was referring to.
You need to find out what the chart represents. $24.00 per hour? That’s definitely not the average hourly pay of Americans who’re actually paid by the hour.
The chart might represent loaded hourly compensation, including all benefitis, i.e., medical insurance benefit, company FICA and unemployment, contributions to retirement, etc.
Or it might be a calculation on an average hourly basis of pay for all employees including salaried employees.
But $24.00 per hour is definitely not just the basic hourly pay of workers paid strictly by the hour.
My legacy will be an America brought down to the level of the rest of the world.
Get it yet? He`s a destroyer, not a builder.
Yep. It’s that sucking sound.
Spoke with a lady yesterday who got the word on Friday that her salary is to be reduced by 1/3. That’s a chunk. Sadly, she doesn’t know if she can find a job making the reduced rate in this economy, but what does she do when food is going up, gas, has mortgage based on the income she has made for over a decade.
It sucks out there right now.
And Obama takes over power distribution grid in the name of his “Climate Strategy”. http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3034444/posts I believe he said something like, “electricity prices will necessarily skyrocket”, or something. So... lower wages, higher energy costs, millions of illegals.... I miss our beautiful, wonderful country. How one man could work so much devastation (well he had plenty of help from several hundred other national politicians and judges.)
US hourly Wages Fall At Fastest Pace Since 1947 First Quarter
You ain’t seen nothing yet - wait until Obamacare is fully implemented AND the traitorous Congresscritters and their boss zero have granted AMNESTY for 20 millions and their 30 million family members arrive. THE AMERICA YOU AND I KNEW IS OVER.
Facts are facts.
That’s why Brookings is the economic arm of the DNC, right?
I was conceived in the first quarter of 1947. It looks as if things have now come full circle.
Thanks; so the decline wasn't all US employees but just those for non-farm businesses. That, and we're seeing how the quote was lifted from a BLS' context that was explaining how "over the last four quarters hourly compensation increased 2.0 percent..." I knew the headline was bogus.
You don't need me for that, the fed's got the options right there and if you want you can divide the wage numbers by the cpi etc. What you might like better is the BEA's numbers for total income (not just wages) plus population and inflation adjustments--
--and we're looking at the average American after tax real incomes at--
--which is really not what we'd rate as "economic devastation".
The elites of both parties must be celebrating.
Note, we have had many readings of this type during the Obama years “Worst _________ since 19____.” I would expect that many of these things are the worst since before the last depression, but records of many things only started after WWII, it seems. What I am saying is the records don’t go back far enough to show what a mess Obama has made.
certain business will not, in a contracting (let alone over-regulated) environment, be able to survive. People won’t miss them, of course, until they’re gone.
Wow. Where did you get that quote? That’s his whole being in a nutshell.
That was obvious even before he was elected the first time.
The problem is, we have a (huge) and growing segment of what we buy in this country, is imported from China.
Massive factories have been set up, and the imports to the manufacturing are all local Chinese.
So the inputs are local. The assembly is all local. Then the goods are put on Chinese ocean liners.
The only Americans involved in the entire process are the crew which stocks Walmart.
The factories aren’t even American-owned.
The “owners” are a minority interest. Majority owned by local Chinese.
Bring back American manufacturing.
“Osama Obamas turned us into a nation of the disabled and part-timers.”
We have been seeing that out here in Northern Californicator land. Add permanently unemployed to your list.
Why work if you can be unemployed or on disability?
One of the trends we have noticed out here, and I have posted is the growing number of those over 62, with IRA’s/401K’s hurt by stock markets and being laid off work/unable to find full employment again.
So these people have opted for early SS, and if they are lucky find a part time job at a small premium over minimal wages.
Smart business people are scooping up these semi retired people and working them no more than 30 hours per week.
One successful small retailer has only hired these people since the melt down. They are reliable, don’t get pregnant, have to have time off for the funerals of multiple grandparents and parents, since they are often the surviving members of their families. They do a good job and have excellent work/honesty ethics. These employers don’t have worry about the costs of Obama care.
Our area is becoming a foodie haven. I have posted how many successful foodie restaurant owners limit their good employees to 30 hours per week and work with other owners to get more hours for those employees. Obama care is the cause of that.
Skilled workers like electricians/plumbers/real carpenters and similar skilled workers can work as many hours they want per week. However, the 30 hour limit is hitting those employers. Again, the hirers are often working other hirers/owners to keep good workers working at two jobs with no more than 30 hours with any single employer.
The worse hit re no employment realities are the college grads with instant unemployment degrees in social/welfare, worthless degrees. They have zero skills to bring to a tough market place and feel entitled to have a good job with minimal if any skills.
There is no age limit for those with the instant unemployment degrees. From new grads to those in their 60’s, they have zero skills and zero opportunities for a good job.