Gallup explains what went wrong in 2012 (Obama won?)

Washington Post ^ | June 4, 2013 | Scott Clement

[Yosemitest]

Be sure to check out the links in commet #19.

[wastoute]

They forgot to account for massive fraud, felonies, and assorted ethical and moral lapses on the part of the libturds.

[Georgia Girl 2]

“2. Too many whites “

Yeh too many whites sat home.

[Labyrinthos]

Given what we are finding out about the IRS...there is a serious question of voter suppression on the part of the administration’s bureaucracy.

The ONLY people responsible for the suppression of GOP and conservative voters are the inside-the-beltway GOP elites who did everything they could to promote a liberal RINO who was unable to inspire the conservative base.

[aimhigh]

Gallup’s problem is that they only count live voters.

[riri]

And here we are 8 months later and where is the stupid party on this or any other issue? Out to lunch.

[LibLieSlayer]

One cannot poll a stolen election.

LLS

[2001convSVT]

Excuses, excuses Romney lost because he wasn’t Conservative enough.

[tanknetter]

2. Too many whites

Gallup’s pre-election surveys contained too many whites among the base sample of American adults and too few Hispanics and African Americans, a bias that had the potential for great impact given deep racial voting divisions.

This one is of particular concern, given that 2012 might have been a racial-turnout anomaly involving the reelection of a Black President.

Gallup and other polling organizations are going to have to take a guess as to whether the exceptionally high turnout of Blacks is going to persist for future elections, both Presidentials and mid-terms. We might see - likely will see - an overcompensation in future polls that oversamples Blacks relative to actual election day turnout. Skewing pre-election numbers in favor of Democrats.

[Nero Germanicus]

Black turnout in 2012 was 13% of the electorate. The black percentage of the US population is 13%. In 2008, Obama got 95% of the black vote. In 2012 he got 93% of the black vote.
Where Obama increased his 2012 performance was among Latino voters, 67% in 2008 up to 71% for Obama in 2012 and Asian-American voters, 62% in 2008 up to 73% for Obama in 2012.

[District13]

“Gallup was wrong because they were unaware of the Ubama administration’s use of the IRS to suppress conservative turnout.”

I still say the election was stolen by all kinds of fraud.

[E. Pluribus Unum]

I still say the election was stolen by all kinds of fraud.

And Myth never said a word. It would have been ungentlemanly.

[District13]

You and I agree on something: Romney is too darn nice!!! I mean - where is the outrage?????

[andy58-in-nh]

They undersampled the dead, and oversampled the informed.