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Gallup explains what went wrong in 2012 (Obama won?)
Washington Post ^ | June 4, 2013 | Scott Clement

Posted on 06/05/2013 11:45:14 AM PDT by Seizethecarp

click here to read article


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Gee...do you think that "secretly" reverting back to only calling landlines might result in underrepresenting Obama-phone minority voters and the young?
1 posted on 06/05/2013 11:45:14 AM PDT by Seizethecarp
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To: Seizethecarp

I hope folks that claim polls are always so accurate, keep this article handy.

I think polls are purposefully gamed for political advantage.


2 posted on 06/05/2013 11:48:37 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (Funny thing happened on the way to the Constitution burning, Lefties rights were Iviolated...)
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To: Seizethecarp

It also oversampled gay voters ~


3 posted on 06/05/2013 11:48:51 AM PDT by muawiyah
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To: Seizethecarp

Given what we are finding out about the IRS...there is a serious question of voter suppression on the part of the administration’s bureaucracy.

You know how the Dems kept complaining about GOP “suppression” of blacks and Hispanics...we now know they were projecting. Saying we were doing what they had planned to do all along.


4 posted on 06/05/2013 11:49:54 AM PDT by kjo (+)
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To: Seizethecarp

100+% voter turnout out voting 98.9% for Obama might have had something to do with it.

Voter suppression might’ve had something to do with it.

Media rigged debates where the “moderators” lie on behalf of Obama might’ve had something to do with it.

But no, clearly Obama has a man-date.


5 posted on 06/05/2013 11:50:37 AM PDT by a fool in paradise (America 2013 - STUCK ON STUPID)
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To: Seizethecarp

They didn’t factor in the 148% voter turnout in Wood County and 108% turnout in Cuyahoga County in Ohio? Huh? Or that the voter fraud in the U.S. was rampant? Huh?


6 posted on 06/05/2013 11:50:42 AM PDT by laweeks
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To: Seizethecarp
Obama stole the election.
Someone once commented: First watch 8 minutes 16 seconds of video titled Romney defeated Obama - if not for voter fraud.

Then ... read and think about this.
7 posted on 06/05/2013 11:51:00 AM PDT by Yosemitest (It's Simple ! Fight, ... or Die !)
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To: Seizethecarp

What went wrong in 2012? Philadelphia, Chicago, NY City, Milwaukee, Camden.

Between people voting twice and the dead getting a vote, it was surprising Romney got that close.

We should purge voter rolls every 10 years and have people reapply. Guarantee that Democrats will never win another national election.


8 posted on 06/05/2013 11:51:46 AM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (The reason we own guns is to protect ourselves from those wanting to take our guns from us.)
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To: Seizethecarp

“We made a mistake. We need to ‘move on’ and we promise to ‘fix’ it in the future. “


9 posted on 06/05/2013 11:52:19 AM PDT by UCANSEE2 (The monsters are due on Maple Street)
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To: Yosemitest

No explanation needed. THE FOREIGNER was the most surprised socialist in the regime when he finally realized his VOTER FRAUD was working. He had expression on his face just like OJ when his not guilty verdict was returned by the jury.


10 posted on 06/05/2013 11:54:38 AM PDT by spawn44 (moo)
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To: Seizethecarp
Gallup was wrong because they were unaware of the Ubama administration's use of the IRS to suppress conservative turnout.
11 posted on 06/05/2013 11:56:03 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum ("Forget it, Jake. It's Eric Holder's people.")
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To: DoughtyOne
I think polls are purposefully gamed for political advantage.

Yeah, but only to rig the voting.

12 posted on 06/05/2013 11:56:49 AM PDT by UCANSEE2 (The monsters are due on Maple Street)
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To: Seizethecarp
"Gallup’s final pre-election polls overrepresented voters in regions where Romney performed better."

Also, Gallup’s final pre-election polls underrepresented voters in regions where Obama performed much better, like Chicago and other big-city cemeteries, and in Demonrat-controlled precincts where Traitorobamanites were given multiple ballots or the voting machines were rigged to record only Demonrat votes.

13 posted on 06/05/2013 11:57:21 AM PDT by Carl Vehse
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To: Seizethecarp

It very hard to interview (poll) dead voters,


14 posted on 06/05/2013 12:02:14 PM PDT by Phyto Chems (Protect the border, NOW. The government needs to do one thing FIRST - CLOSE the Border)
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To: kjo
Given what we are finding out about the IRS...

You should be more worried about the unholy alliance of Google and the democrat party. They were able to determine every voters like and dislikes, they tailored their message to fit that individual. They knew what TV shows every voter watched, so they were able to place adds at the most favorable time and place.

We live in a different world and the GOPe have no clue how to deal with this new political/data service alliance.

FOX did a special on this a couple weeks back but I guess no one watched it, because I never saw it mentioned here.

15 posted on 06/05/2013 12:05:12 PM PDT by itsahoot (It is not so much that history repeats, but that human nature does not change.)
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To: Seizethecarp

We lost because Romney was a mealy mouthed RINO like Dole, Bush I, McCain, and others like him! I assume we’re going to lose all future elections to the socialist-minority-single mom, welfare-sucking super coalition. Let’s lose in style and nominate a Ted Cruz or Rand Paul or Allen West!


16 posted on 06/05/2013 12:06:40 PM PDT by 2nd Amendment (Proud member of the 48% . . giver not a taker)
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To: Yosemitest

That video is worth watching. One thing is for sure, earlier voters are almost all conservative.


17 posted on 06/05/2013 12:07:29 PM PDT by ChinaGotTheGoodsOnClinton (Go Egypt on 0bama)
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To: Seizethecarp
"Gallup explains what went wrong in 2012"

It's actually very simple. Because of the economy, and overall disenchantment with Obama, turnout was forecast to be significantly lower in '12 than in '08. Surveys revealed the dissatisfaction to be lower across the board, including inner city blacks.

Said disenchantment was reflected in the turnout across the board, EXCEPT for inner city blacks. The turnout for inner city blacks was slightly higher overall than in '08. Had turnout tracked with the lack of satisfaction, as it always has in prior years, Romney would have won a narrow 51-49 victory and carried those critical states like Ohio, Virginia, and others.

How else can you explain why Obama won a 51-48 margin, and held onto the Senate, while the House of Representatives remained overwhelmingly GOP? Because huge margins in the handful of inner city districts can carry state elections, including the Presidential election, but not local elections. The GOP had only 47% of the popular vote for the House but won 53% of the seats.

We lost a turnout game, pure and simple. The Obama team dragged inner city blacks to the polls. Sure, they also did their share of ballot box stuffing and dead people voting, but that won't delivery more than 0.5% of the votes statewide.

At the same time, the constituencies that we hold dear -- did nothing similar. We should have been dragging dispirited evangelical Christians to the polls in the suburbs, along with rural whites and others. But the GOP had its typical laissez-faire approach and, therefore, we lost.

18 posted on 06/05/2013 12:08:58 PM PDT by tom h
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To: spawn44
We could have 100 percent of the vote in 2014 and we'll still lose.
Why?
Let us remember ...

19 posted on 06/05/2013 12:11:24 PM PDT by Yosemitest (It's Simple ! Fight, ... or Die !)
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To: UCANSEE2

I do think the polls are rigged to motivate and discourage. Swinging enthusiasm and participation by a few percentage points works.


20 posted on 06/05/2013 12:12:00 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (Funny thing happened on the way to the Constitution burning, Lefties rights were Iviolated...)
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