Thanks for the inside look:
Now, with the IRS scandal - and this is one that will NOT go away - dove tailing with the train wreck of Obama Care - perhaps his Constitutional bent and speech making ability will work with Cuccinelli and work out. I also don’t think an inside crony like McAuliffe will sell well in light of all of this.
As I recall, Virginia’s 09 election was almost a straight up and down the ballot referendum on Obama, the candidates were almost not relevant - and Obama got shellacked. If its that kind of referendum in ‘13, I think Obama gets shellacked again.
VA is a purple state. The race for governor will be very close. If the Dems get anywhere near the turnout they did in 2008 and 2012 in Northern VA, McAuliffe will win. The demographics of VA have been changing rapidly over the years. Immigration and minority birthrates will make VA blue in a decade.
The Obama scandals will hopefully affect the Dem turnout. Cuccinelli is a real conservative and a tireless and great campaigner. He could also be an energizing force for the Dems who have demonized him as a right wing radical. But make no mistake about it, this will be a close race.
As in 2009, this race will be held in an off-year