Glad to see UKIP doing so well but... From this poll it looks to me like between Labor and the Lib Democrats the left currently enjoys 50% support. Between Tories and UKIP the right seems to have 40%. That seems kind of depressing. The other 10% is probably scattered among smaller parties like the BNP, Greens, etc, I assume? It looks like if an election were held today the left would win?
In theory yes, but the electoral system here is first past the post, and while UKIP may end up with more votes than the Lib Dems, it is entirely feasible that UKIP could end up with 0 MPs and the Lib Dems 10-20.
As things stand, it is likely a Lib Lab coalition or majority Lab victory, but there is 2 years to go, and UKIP is massively on the rise so who knows.
Beyond any doubt, the more people see of Farage and UKIP the more they like. A good show in the local elections in May and next years Euro elections and we could have the most interesting general election in decades by 2015.
Disagree with your theory, I believe that UKIP are drawing for all parties (and non voters).
Yes it is a good chunck from Tories, but old patriotic labour, and some lib dems are defecting as well..