he was just lucky, the polls were skewed, but towards Obama
If you look at the real clear average of the final polls, obama’s margin of victory was more than 3 std deviations from from the final poll average (+2.5 vs + 0.7%).
that means that non-sampling error was more important than sampling error and the polls that silver put more weight on just happened to GUESS correctly on what turnout would be.
so enjoy it while it lasts, Nate, buddy, because success based on luck and guessing never does
Silver is still a pathetic, Democrat shill (most likely closet gay). He was off in the mid-term house elections by an entire 8 seats.
Yeah, enjoy it while you can, Silver. “Online sensations” last all of about two minutes anyway. You’ll soon be filed right next to ‘Numa Numa guy” and “Keyboard Cat”.