Happy with FR now?
How about Contributing Tonight?
Posted on 11/06/2012 4:31:36 PM PST by outofsalt
Virginia Board of Elections website will link to local as well as national contests
ping
With a piddly ~ 1,500 votes in, Romney is up 70-29
Chesterfield is a good one to look at as it is a large county. 30% in, McCain won 53-46, Romney up 56-43. Going to be tight.
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I AM REALLY DAMN NERVOUS ABOUT VIRGINIA, OHIO, AND MY HOME FLORIDA!!!!!!!
SOMEONE THROW ICE WATER IN MY FACE HEEEEEELLLPP!
Morris reporting that VA exit polls show Romney with an 11 pt. lead with Independents and that Obama is only winning women by 5 pts.
My vote will be there. I am in a rural county but close enough to DC to be somewhat liberal-infected plus 25% snowed by the media. Turnout was stronger than 08. The peoples came out from voting and headed to their cars or to the Republican booth. The two old Dems were alone although I went over to ask a couple questions. We will contribute a lot of votes, hopefully 2 to 1 ratio.
Keep in mind the red, rural counties usually come in first. The people’s republic for fairfax county will usually be about last.
Alexandria voting took 1 hr 45 min. A lot of people.
first thread of the night i was looking for...here’s the CNN interactive map for Virginia, broken by county- its pretty good...maybe some Freepers from the area could tell us what to look for...understand the north blue and sout red but what percentages do we need for Romney to carry the state??
http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/results/state/VA
I’m a Doctor of Punditry. My professional opinion is that you should drink heavily.
Looks like nationally Dems top turnout is 39%=loss. That means all the D+1 million polls were WRONG.
And this: @ali Pew, Ras, and Gallup (according to their own data) all think the Exit Polls are heavily weighted D. Those firms showed ties. Dem TROUBLE!
I’m a Doctor of Punditry. My professional opinion is that you should drink heavily.
I would add that Virgil Goode will get close to 1 percent of the VA vote. That might be enough to sink Romney, it will be that close, but I hope not.
From SW Virginia, Floyd County area (they ousted Dem Boucher in ‘10)—heard from a friend that said polling was heavier in that conservative area than he had ever seen it.
Virginia SBE pauses reporting of results until 8pm because of long lines still at polls.....breaking news on llocal TV
What was Dem turnout in 2008?
Did you see this:
CNN says Ohio exit polls 51 - 48 Obama.
Also says Ohio electorate was 38 D, 31 R, 31 I for a D+7.
Am hoping their polls are skewed and that Republicans did considerably better than -7 in Ohio.
If not, the election ends early tonight because they smoked us where it counted most.
“Virginia SBE pauses reporting of results until 8pm because of long lines still at polls.....breaking news on llocal TV”
No surprise. Long lines ALL DAY in tidewater. Huge turnout. Not necessarily good for our side, but interesting to note.
Tell you what. So you don’t accuse me of building up your hopes, why don’t you believe CNN, and I’ll believe the count?
I’ll drink to that.
If Virginia goes Romney, we forgive you all your oyster thievery. ;)
Is CNN exit polling in all precincts or just Cleveland?
I don’t believe CNN.
LS don’t be angry. I was just a little concerned with that +7Dem they’re showing.
Exit pollsters skewed their polls to fit “the 2008 model”?
“Exit pollsters skewed their polls to fit “the 2008 model”?”
More than likely. When in doubt, skew the results to what you’d like them to be.
We’ll find out soon when SBE gets the gerbils going again.
@ali on Twitter running numbers on exit polls. They are closer to +4 in VA only, everywhere else the D number is 39%, which puts them way under almost every poll out there.
I haven't seen lines like I did today at my polling place before. The couple we rode with (80 and 82, lived in Accomack county all their lives)said the same thing. Hubby and I waited 30 minutes, the other couple an hour -- there were far more people in the A-K line and our last name begins with L.
So VA could go Obama again with that +4 DEM?
+4 is EXIT POLLS. Not real vote count. We will have no idea what the enthusiasm level is till after the numbers come in.
Thank you for answering me.
The gerbils at SBE are up and running!!!
Mitt Romney 10,727 68.90%
Barack Obama 4,611 29.61%
Virgil Goode 100 0.64%
Gary Johnson 97 0.62%
Jill Stein 24 0.15%
Write In 11 0.07%
Total Votes 15,570
It’s very earl;y and these are rural (very red) places.
Mitt Romney 450,881 56.65%
Barack Obama 331,427 41.64%
Virgil Goode 4,173 0.52%
Gary Johnson 6,426 0.81%
Jill Stein 1,765 0.22%
Write In 1,190 0.15%
Total Votes 795,862 (about 28% of precincts)
Still very early, mostly rural. Some cities waking up.
Fox just announced that VA is going to pause reporting while they extend poll hours to anyone in line by 7PM. Not sure how long it will take to clear the line, but the margin looks good so far in VA.
So far, two blue states from 2008 have flipped (IN and GA).
Florida doesn’t look very good right now.
Uhm hum.............in our dreams :-)
I think it’s gonna be a long night, FRiend!
City of Chesapeake, 2nd largest city in VA, Obama carried by 1 point in 2008. With 53% in, Romney leads 60-40. If this holds, we can run up some large numbers here.
I loved being part of Project Orca today! I hoped it helped the Romney campaign WIN!!
Reporting resumed at 8pm.
Can Romney/Ryan win without FLA? Like maybe OH+PA or OH+WI?
Panhandle will be Romney. Florida will be Romney
Kaine running 2 1/2 points better than Obama.
I hate to think of that Obot, Reid butt-kisser coming from my state!
Why are you talking this nonsense? FL looks like an R win.
Well Fox team and the NRO Corner (national review) tweeters. They are (were?) down in the dumps about Fla.
Romney is up 130,000 with 1.4 million cast, that is very good!!!!!!!1
Not true....Rove talking about erasing the early vote. And the panhandle vote yet to come in
whew!
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