Fantasy.
The results out of Dixville Notch this morning bear no relation at all to this poll. O voters are staying home.
D+7 is simply not going to happen today. Maybe in their dreams!
Kiss this one good bye!
Beyond D+7, only 31% GOP? Far too low.
LETS ROLL!
“Kiss this one good bye!”
and, say “Hello” to coattails!
I think that we are missing something here. The D+7 is plainly wrong unless you assume that the high Indy number includes many who would identify as Republican tomorrow in final party ID based upon how they vote. This would bring the Indy number down to a reasonable level and close the gap between D and R. It also is consistent with Romney being up big with the Indies. Unfortunately, the top line result thus would not have to change to produce a more reasonable looking party split. In other words, I am no longer convinced that the exclusive focus on the D+ number is enough to rebut all polls where that number appears out of whack. There may be other things to consider.
I am afraid that the tide of support that Romney recently enjoyed is going out and we will not like what tomorrow brings. I hope that I am wrong.
Let’s just hope that Ras and Gallup are right and that Romney pulls this out.