IBD/TIPP Final Results: Obama 50.3%, Romney 48.7%

IBD/TIPP Presidential Daily Tracking Poll ^

[Birdy]

For the first time since we started the poll, Obama garners 40% of the white vote. That's a critical threshold he had to hit in order to make a win possible. Romney continues to hold a significant 6-point advantage with independents and a 14-point edge with investors. Romney performs better with Conservatives than McCain did in 2008. Catholic voters are breaking for Romney. He now holds a 17-point lead among this group, up from just 1 point in the Oct. 28 poll.

[HawkHogan]

It’s all about internals. That lead among Catholics is huge... especially in swing states....

[fortheDeclaration]

Romney is getting 60% of the White vote and they think Obama is going to win?

These guys are nuts.

[CatOwner]

D+7, I=R+1

Sure

[Birdy]

I think so. I actually expected this to be worse for Romney.

[StopDemocratsDotCom]

is that the sampling number?

[fortheDeclaration]

Romney is getting 60% of the White vote and they think Obama is going to win?

These guys are nuts.

[CatOwner]

Sample Size: 712 likely voters (identified from 893 registered voters with party affiliation of 38% Dem, 31% GOP, 32% Ind.)

[fortheDeclaration]

Yes, espically in WI and PA.

[yadent]

I’m going with this projection——http://www.colorado.edu/news/releases/2012/10/04/updated-election-forecasting-model-still-points-romney-win-university

[fortheDeclaration]

Very good CatOwner!

[goldstategop]

Fantasy.

The results out of Dixville Notch this morning bear no relation at all to this poll. O voters are staying home.

D+7 is simply not going to happen today. Maybe in their dreams!

Kiss this one good bye!

[CatOwner]

Beyond D+7, only 31% GOP? Far too low.

[Republic Rocker]

LETS ROLL!

[dixiechick2000]

“Kiss this one good bye!”

and, say “Hello” to coattails!

[StopDemocratsDotCom]

me too!....My mind keeps going to that article..it keeps reminding me of that study that has been right even in 2000 when i hear the name “Nate Silver”

[I see my hands]

[MaxMax]

Add on those college students who bought into the Hopey and don't have
the jobs they voted for. Or the free gas, new car, bleh bleh.

[dixiechick2000]

I like your new “look.” ;o)

[CatOwner]

Oh yeah, Obama gets 95% of the Liberal vote, but Romney only gets 78% of the Conservative vote. A case could be made that some conservatives will stay home, but those that vote will be in the 90+% range for Romney.