Posted on 11/05/2012 11:46:19 PM PST by BushMeister
Well, it's close, but they have Romney down 1.6%.
For the first time since we started the poll, Obama garners 40% of the white vote. That's a critical threshold he had to hit in order to make a win possible.
Romney continues to hold a significant 6-point advantage with independents and a 14-point edge with investors.. Romney performs better with Conservatives than McCain did in 2008.
(Excerpt) Read more at news.investors.com ...
Romney is going to win 60% of the white vote.
IBD/TIPP are delusional in thinking O can win with 40% and a third of the independents.
Here is another heavily D+ oversampled poll.
60% of the White vote is a Reagan levels.
D+ advantage in this poll is D+7.
No one really believes this is 2008. Obama could win if he got that kind of excitement and enthusiasm but it simply wasn’t in evidence in the closing days of this campaign.
It is not 2008 and these pollsters have lost all credibility!
As for IBD/TIPP, this is disheartening because they were apparently the closest pollsters for the national vote in 2004 and 2008. Still, D+7 is a big spread for 2012, and Romney is only down 1.6%.
They’re applying 2008 as a baseline model.
As we already saw in Dixville Notch, 11 Obama voters did not vote.
I don’t see that kind of Mojo for O. All of the people in the tank for him believe in unicorns and the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow.
Happy Days Are Here Again! I think it may R+1. D+2 is probably the worst we can expect today.
Romney’s team sees D+2 or D+3 at most.
The Christie Effect continues. The Obama goons are lapping it up, amazed with how much of a turncoat Crispy Creme Christie is willing to be...even staging Obama "passing the phone to Springsteen" during his call with the NJ Gov. today. What a pathetic RINO tool.
obuumer has this one sewed up they say. ha ha
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/romney-vs-obama-electoral-map
Intrade of course has been ridiculous since late October when its low was 54. But its bounced back to a record high Obamaphile suppport level.
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