[BushMeister]

I've felt for a while that D +2 was the worst we'd see this year. Maybe Rasmussen got higher values for the party ID figures earlier in October, and has them narrowing recently, and that's why he is going with D +3 or whatever he's using, despite that amazing R +5.8.

As for IBD/TIPP, this is disheartening because they were apparently the closest pollsters for the national vote in 2004 and 2008. Still, D+7 is a big spread for 2012, and Romney is only down 1.6%.

[goldstategop]

They’re applying 2008 as a baseline model.

As we already saw in Dixville Notch, 11 Obama voters did not vote.

I don’t see that kind of Mojo for O. All of the people in the tank for him believe in unicorns and the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow.

Happy Days Are Here Again! I think it may R+1. D+2 is probably the worst we can expect today.

[LongWayHome]

Romney’s team sees D+2 or D+3 at most.