Forty percent (40%) of likely voters in the Buckeye State have already voted. Obama leads 60% to 37% among these voters.
If that is true it is over for Mitt in OH. There is no way the remaining 60% will tilt the other way.
This differential must be just from polling by Rasmussen, not actual votes recorded by the State. That number doesn’t seem right.
Obama’s advantage in early voting in 2008 was less than 20% over McCain. And the final tally was only 4.6% margin for Obama in 2008.
As of Friday, the early votes were about 28% of the 2008 totals, and the early voting advantage is less than 10% Obama. We know that the early vote advantage has been cut dramatically in 2012 from 2008. And the projected margin for Romney on those yet to vote is 13%, which will make his margin more than enough.