Colorado is Romney. There’s no question anymore. Romney actually won early voting, which means it’s pretty much impossible for Obama to win the state.
He needs either Ohio, Pennsylvania, or a combination of the smaller swing states (NH, IA/NV, and WI, for example).
PA is the longest shot, but I think either of the other two scenarios are quite possible.
I think he’s low on the popular vote total for Romney. If he wins, he’ll be above 50 and probably 51%. A win means he is going to get strong turnout and more undecided/indies than in the polls. I have no clue on the electoral vote at this point. A win could be slim or moderate as he predicts, or it could open up big as some reliable guys like Barone predict. I felt much like Barone of the last few weeks, but the tightening of the polls in Ras and Gallup in the final days makes me think it won’t be that wide....but here’s hoping!
Romney is going to win this big, it won’t be close.
If Romney wins, we celebrate what it means for the Country.
If Obama wins, the other side celebrates what it means for them. >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>...
If Romney loses, we feel sad for the future of our Country.
If Obama loses, the other side revels in their revenge.
The real story will be how the pubs blew it on the senate races.
If Romney wins, we celebrate what it means for the Country.
If Obama wins, the other side celebrates what it means for them. >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>...
If Romney loses, we feel sad for the future of our Country.
If Obama loses, the other side revels in their revenge.
Pretty much what I’m thinking. Thanks for the article.
I should add that I don’t think Colorado or New Hampshire are toss ups. I believe both go Romney. Did you see the Romney New Hampshire rally earlier? Jam packed and electric!
The man clearly has an extremely good track record predicting elections, I don’t think he would be reckless with that reputation......
Over the last decade,[B] Hillyer’s prognostications of national elections has landed him some unusual acclaim in political circles[/B]. While a columnist in Mobile, Alabama, a 1998 Washington Post column by Al Kamen labeled him the “Oracle of Mobile” for his accuracy in predicting the number of Congressional seats to be held by both parties after the election. [2]
In 1998 and 2000, his Mobile Register columns correctly predicted the number of seats won nationwide in the United States Congress by each party. In 2002, he missed the total by one seat.[3]
In 2004, he predicted the House numbers within one seat, and missed one state in the electoral battle between George W. Bush and John Kerry.[4]
On September 12, 2008, Hillyer correctly predicted the 52.9 percent popular vote for Barack Obama received in November. [5]
Hillyer noted a misfire he made in the 2006 elections, in which he incorrectly predicted the Republicans would hold the U.S. House of Representatives by one seat.
Quin Hillyer
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
“Oracle of Mobile”
Over the last decade, Hillyer’s prognostications of national elections has landed him some unusual acclaim in political circles. While a columnist in Mobile, Alabama, a 1998 Washington Post column by Al Kamen labeled him the “Oracle of Mobile” for his accuracy in predicting the number of Congressional seats to be held by both parties after the election. [2]
In 1998 and 2000, his Mobile Register columns correctly predicted the number of seats won nationwide in the United States Congress by each party. In 2002, he missed the total by one seat.[3]
In 2004, he predicted the House numbers within one seat, and missed one state in the electoral battle between George W. Bush and John Kerry.[4]
On September 12, 2008, Hillyer correctly predicted the 52.9 percent popular vote for Barack Obama received in November. [5]
Hillyer noted a misfire he made in the 2006 elections, in which he incorrectly predicted the Republicans would hold the U.S. House of Representatives by one seat.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quin_Hillyer
This guy certainly has cred.
Bookmarking in case of epic fail part III.