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Karl Rove - Electoral Map 11/5
rove.com ^ | 11/5/12 | Karl Rove

Posted on 11/05/2012 1:51:28 PM PST by workerbee

Updated electoral map is up.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls
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There were about ninety-six polls in thirty-one states over the last week, but only Wisconsin changed status on the final Electoral College map, shifting from “toss up” to “lean” Obama. Barack Obama has 184 total “safe” Electoral College votes with four states (47 EC votes) “leaning” in his favor, and Mitt Romney has 180 “safe” EC votes with two states (26 EC votes) “leaning” his way. There are still eight “toss up” states (101 EC votes) the day before the election, with the numbers in Ohio, Nevada, Colorado, Michigan, Virginia, and New Hampshire unchanged from the previous week.
1 posted on 11/05/2012 1:51:31 PM PST by workerbee
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To: workerbee

I think Romney will carry WI. I look to the Walker recall as a model. The rats and the unions threw everything that they had at that election and couldn’t unseat Walker. I think the margin will be very slim, but Romney takes it home.


2 posted on 11/05/2012 1:55:16 PM PST by RobertClark (Inside every "older" person is a younger person wondering what the hell happened?)
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To: workerbee

I think that Romney will win many states that are going to surprise many people.

I believe Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are tossups. And what’s up with New Mexico?


3 posted on 11/05/2012 1:56:19 PM PST by wk4bush2004 (Thank You, Lord, that Mitt Romney is our President and Paul Ryan is our VP, in Jesus' Name, AMEN!)
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To: workerbee

Praying for America.. If ever there was a time to pray, this is it. This is for America, people. Do or die for America. May God take Romney/Ryan to victory, just as he did Reagan in a landslide over Carter even though the media promoted a Carter win!


4 posted on 11/05/2012 2:00:08 PM PST by Obama_Is_Sabotaging_America
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To: RobertClark

I agree on WI. I’m not crazy about the fact he still has FL & VA as toss-up either.


5 posted on 11/05/2012 2:00:54 PM PST by workerbee (The President of the United States is DOMESTIC ENEMY #1)
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To: workerbee

Not as comforting as I had hoped.


6 posted on 11/05/2012 2:05:09 PM PST by Miles the Slasher
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To: workerbee

Not as comforting as I had hoped.


7 posted on 11/05/2012 2:05:18 PM PST by Miles the Slasher
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To: RobertClark

Rassmussen said o Hannity a few minutes ago that If WI goes to Romeny it is because of the dems recall of Walker which allowed Republicans to set up a great ground game and GOTV in the state.. Ironic.


8 posted on 11/05/2012 2:05:18 PM PST by scbison
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To: Obama_Is_Sabotaging_America

“Praying for America.. If ever there was a time to pray, this is it. This is for America, people. Do or die for America. May God take Romney/Ryan to victory, just as he did Reagan in a landslide over Carter even though the media promoted a Carter win!”

Yes, The MOST important think to do right now!!!


9 posted on 11/05/2012 2:05:40 PM PST by blueyon (The U. S. Constitution - read it and weep)
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To: workerbee

Remember the 2010 mid-terms? Remember Chik-Fil-A Day?

LET’S DO IT AGAIN!!!


10 posted on 11/05/2012 2:06:02 PM PST by tlp2001 (Capitalism is based on human strength, communism is based on human weakness)
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To: Miles the Slasher

I hear ya. Rove was pretty spot on in ‘08, as I recall.


11 posted on 11/05/2012 2:07:03 PM PST by workerbee (The President of the United States is DOMESTIC ENEMY #1)
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To: blueyon

This proud nation is finally coming off its “high” from electing Obama. Like a bad drug overdose, the people who voted for him are getting “clean,” and sobering up. Romney wins handily tomorrow.


12 posted on 11/05/2012 2:07:56 PM PST by Galtoid ( .)
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To: workerbee

If Virginia and Florida are still in play, how can Romney win? Those need to be solidly in his camp and then he MUST take Ohio and one more small state after that to win.


13 posted on 11/05/2012 2:08:16 PM PST by Sam Gamgee (May God have mercy upon my enemies, because I won't. - Patton)
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To: workerbee

No way FL and VA are tossups.


14 posted on 11/05/2012 2:09:35 PM PST by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: scbison

“Rassmussen said o Hannity a few minutes ago that If WI goes to Romeny it is because of the dems recall of Walker which allowed Republicans to set up a great ground game and GOTV in the state.. Ironic.”

And speaking of Wisconsin... My favorite topic: The Wisconsin Recall!

We were told it was too close to call.
Yet 49 MINUTES after the polls closed, it was over.
Walker won 53-46.

Take a walk down memory lane and and watch MSNBC with Mizz Madcow having to eat crow:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pchwcD4IPzs


15 posted on 11/05/2012 2:09:59 PM PST by ShovelThemOut
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To: tlp2001

All the momentum I see is Republicans.
Only voter fraud can save Baraq.....


16 posted on 11/05/2012 2:10:06 PM PST by nascarnation (Defeat Baraq 2012. Deport Baraq 2013)
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To: Sam Gamgee
Vir and Fl aren't tossups. Romney is up in both of those States.

Rove is playing it cute to stay in good with his media buddies.

17 posted on 11/05/2012 2:11:14 PM PST by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: fortheDeclaration

VA has worried me all along, but I feel pretty confident FL is going R. Still, I’m not happy Rove puts it in play.


18 posted on 11/05/2012 2:12:20 PM PST by workerbee (The President of the United States is DOMESTIC ENEMY #1)
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To: Obama_Is_Sabotaging_America
"If ever there was a time to pray, this is it. This is for America, people. Do or die for America. "

There is only a day until election day. The people will decide who will be the next President of the United States. The person elected will be the president of all Americans, not just the Democrats or the Republicans. It's time that we all need to come together, Democrats and Republicans alike, in a bi-partisan effort for America. If you support Mitt Romney, please drive with your headlights ON during the day. If you support Barrack Obama, please drive with your headlights OFF at night. Together, we can make it happen

19 posted on 11/05/2012 2:13:20 PM PST by matthew fuller (God is cast his early vote 10/29 in Obamaland!)
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To: workerbee
He has WI, Minn and Penn leaning Obama when the polls have it a tie!

Rove is useless!

20 posted on 11/05/2012 2:13:20 PM PST by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: fortheDeclaration

We’ll see — his ‘08 predictions made me crazy, but IIRC he was pretty much on the money.


21 posted on 11/05/2012 2:14:26 PM PST by workerbee (The President of the United States is DOMESTIC ENEMY #1)
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To: workerbee

Rasmussen Party Id: Republicans +5.8 (All Time Record)


Rasmussen Party Id: Republicans +5.8 (All Time Record)
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 11/05/2012 | Scott Rasmussen

22 posted on 11/05/2012 2:15:42 PM PST by tomkat ( PAlabama '12 = RR = 300 +)
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To: workerbee

Romney is in Florida today. I thought we had it in the bag. Doesn’t appear to be a good sign.


23 posted on 11/05/2012 2:17:09 PM PST by Miles the Slasher
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To: matthew fuller

I echo the sentiment. Remember, we all have to live together when this is done. I tell all my Dem friends to be polite and respectful on Tuesday, when the Republicans vote, and we’ll be just as polite and respectful on Wednesday, when the Democrats vote.


24 posted on 11/05/2012 2:19:20 PM PST by Billthedrill
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To: workerbee

Was 2008 really that hard to call?


25 posted on 11/05/2012 2:20:40 PM PST by carton253
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To: Miles the Slasher

Wasn’t Romney in Ohio today as well...according to this he’ll also be making stops near the Cleveland area as well as Pittsburgh tomorrow...

http://latino.foxnews.com/latino/news/2012/11/05/mitt-romney-obama-wrap-up-campaigns-as-election-day-nears/


26 posted on 11/05/2012 2:21:55 PM PST by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: workerbee
VA has worried me all along, but I feel pretty confident FL is going R. Still, I’m not happy Rove puts it in play.

I livwe in south central Va. it is solidly Romney. I am worried about Richmond and Arlington. both are heavily Demoncrat and rife for fraud.

27 posted on 11/05/2012 2:22:35 PM PST by verga (A nation divided by Zero!)
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To: workerbee; All

i don’t think Rove put anything into play...unless i’m reading it wrong this is a 14 day average of public polls...he’s basically doing the same thing nate silver does with this one....


28 posted on 11/05/2012 2:24:54 PM PST by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: workerbee

Man! How can he differ so much from Dick Morris? Both were Presidential advisors?

What about Rasmussen’s +5 Republican at the polls?


29 posted on 11/05/2012 2:25:55 PM PST by MNDude (OWS Movement RIP)
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To: wk4bush2004

>> And what’s up with New Mexico?

Too many new mexicans.


30 posted on 11/05/2012 2:26:38 PM PST by Nervous Tick ("You can ignore reality, but you can't ignore the consequences of ignoring reality.")
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To: workerbee

ON NOV. 7TH MORNING RETURNS TO AMERICA: IN THE END, RIGHT TRIUMPHS

VICE PRESIDENT RYAN ">

31 posted on 11/05/2012 2:27:43 PM PST by jimsin (w)
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To: wk4bush2004

NM was a Bush state in 2004. It seems to have flipped back and forth between R and D over the years and never been a good predictor of who wins an election.

NV is stranger. It’s predicted the winner ever since 1980. Only OH has been an accurate predictor for a longer period of time.


32 posted on 11/05/2012 2:28:46 PM PST by JediJones (Vote NO on Proposition Zero! Tuesday, November 6th!)
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To: verga

I drove from Peachtree City GA (south of Atlanta) to Annapolis MD last Thursday and came back yesterday. 1350 miles and two swing states - 17 Obama stickers the whole way. 80% were middle aged white women (coexist stickers) and only two were black.


33 posted on 11/05/2012 2:29:08 PM PST by KCengineer ( Speaking the TRUTH)
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To: workerbee

You know, that map is completely worthless right now.

Anybody off the street could put up a map and call every state that is even remotely close a toss-up.

Rove needs to show some balls and make a definitive call on every state.

I heard he predicted a Romney win today. Lets see how he anticipates him getting it.


34 posted on 11/05/2012 2:31:02 PM PST by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: Nervous Tick

“Too many new mexicans.”

Battled through the fog & ether & blown transformers to tell you: That was a damn fine pun!

lol


35 posted on 11/05/2012 2:36:22 PM PST by Fightin Whitey
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To: workerbee

I think FL is close, but in the end, I think Romney carries it by 5% to 8%. I think the turnout is the key. All polls are assuming a +2 turnout advantage for the rats. If we get to even a +1, it is a lanslide. I think a +3 to +6 is likely for Romney which is huge.


36 posted on 11/05/2012 2:37:06 PM PST by RobertClark (Inside every "older" person is a younger person wondering what the hell happened?)
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To: verga

You are right about Arlington; Richmond always votes democrat. But two very important counties are Prince William and Loudoun and based on signs, they belong to Romney.


37 posted on 11/05/2012 2:37:36 PM PST by Hero
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To: Billthedrill; matthew fuller

LOL, youz guyz!


38 posted on 11/05/2012 2:43:00 PM PST by workerbee (The President of the United States is DOMESTIC ENEMY #1)
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To: Obama_Is_Sabotaging_America
Prayer is great and will help lift everyone's spirits. We all know what we need to do. It is time to quit talking, quit speculating, and quit dragging our feet - it's time to just plain get it done. Tomorrow is crucial. Call everyone that you have a phone number for and make sure they have voted; if they have not, drive to their house and drag their butt to the polls.

Tomorrow we unseat the marxist usurper - We meet at dawn!

39 posted on 11/05/2012 2:43:30 PM PST by RobertClark (Inside every "older" person is a younger person wondering what the hell happened?)
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To: scbison
Liberalism, in all it's variations, always produces the exact opposite of it's stated intent. Jim Quinn....Qunn's Laws...Pittsburgh radio 104.7 WPGB. the war room
40 posted on 11/05/2012 2:44:16 PM PST by prisoner6 (Right Wing Nuts bolt the Constitution together as the loose screws of the Left fall out!f)
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To: workerbee
Rove was on Hannity and he said that he predicts that Florida, Virginia, Ohio and Wisconsin, Colorado, NH and others would go Romney. He said some of the polling data shows better than his map but he had to go with what he had at the time. He said Romney will win... the margin is a question but he is CONFIDENT in a Romney win. Michael Barone is more confident now than ever... Stuart Varney is also confident in what insiders are sharing with him. obama is going down... just like when he and reggie love are together.

LLS

41 posted on 11/05/2012 2:46:41 PM PST by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
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To: comebacknewt; God luvs America

Yes, Rove called it for Romney late last week, I think. That’s why I was a little taken aback with this map. GluvsA, you could be right.


42 posted on 11/05/2012 2:47:33 PM PST by workerbee (The President of the United States is DOMESTIC ENEMY #1)
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To: Miles the Slasher

Bad Read Kreskin!

Romney is in FL and VA to shore up Senate support for Mack & Allen.

He knows how important having the Senate back is to filling his agenda.


43 posted on 11/05/2012 2:50:00 PM PST by G Larry (Which of Obama's policies do you think I'd support if he were white?)
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To: All
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44 posted on 11/05/2012 2:51:10 PM PST by musicman (Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
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To: nascarnation
HEY FOLKS... IF POLLS WERE ACCURATE... WE WOULD NOT NEED ELECTIONS! They can show trends and everything since Friday has been trending back to Romney. Michael Barone said that Sandy helped obama for a few days but that it has now turned around and is dragging down his numbers. He said that 4 days of hurricane news took the election off of the front burner... so naturally interest wained... but since then it has been trending to Romney in almost every area. Rove said much the same.

LLS

45 posted on 11/05/2012 2:52:23 PM PST by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
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To: LibLieSlayer

Ahhh, excellent, thank you for the info, LLS!

My fears over the Left simply “seizing” this election aren’t completely gone, but this news coupled with Barone’s assessment is heartening.


46 posted on 11/05/2012 2:52:23 PM PST by workerbee (The President of the United States is DOMESTIC ENEMY #1)
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To: workerbee

Karl doesn’t want (R)s getting over confident.

Must keep pushing GOTV!


47 posted on 11/05/2012 2:53:43 PM PST by G Larry (Which of Obama's policies do you think I'd support if he were white?)
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To: RobertClark

That’s how I see it.

The dems threw everything they had but the kitchen sink at Walker, and couldn’t get it done. You’d think Romney would have an easier time of it for a presidential race.


48 posted on 11/05/2012 2:53:43 PM PST by KoRn (Department of Homeland Security, Certified - "Right Wing Extremist")
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To: KoRn

The Walker recall is why I feel sure WI will go R. I just can’t believe those people went thru all THAT, only to cede themselves to the D column now.


49 posted on 11/05/2012 2:59:02 PM PST by workerbee (The President of the United States is DOMESTIC ENEMY #1)
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To: workerbee

Hang tough... there has never ever been a sure thing... but the trends look good and those that I trust are saying we win and my prayer is working... I know it... and I am just one amongst millions that are praying. We rid America tomorrow... of the worst cancer to ever infect her body.

LLS


50 posted on 11/05/2012 2:59:44 PM PST by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
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