This actually mirrors the Susquehanna PA poll, which took 2 points off of Romney and added them to Obama this weekend.
I can see Obama gaining 2 points from the undecideds last week. But what could make 2 points worth of voters who had said they were voting for Romney previously change their mind? I can only assume Obama’s running effective negative ads in some states. I haven’t seen many Obama ads in PA.
To me this is close enough that an unexpected Tea Party surge could come in and close the deal for Romney. What worries me there is a last-minute surge of Obama-mania, from the braindead folks who barely even knew there was an election coming up until the last few days. If they haven’t been paying attention, they’ll go in tomorrow and just vote for the bigger brand name, Obama.
Chill!
ALL the polls are based on D+2 electorate coming out, which is why its so tight.
If its really R+1 or R+2, things begin to look dramatically different.
We won’t know how high GOP turnout is going to be! This is a turnout election and the Romney Campaign will have to get all its voters out to the polls.
The only way Romney can lose if he doesn’t attend to his GOTV operation.
What is nuts about the Rasmussen and Gallup polls is that they are not sampling based on there own party identification polls. Gallup has R+3 and Rasmussen R+5.
What is nuts about the Rasmussen and Gallup polls is that they are not sampling based on there own party identification polls. Gallup has R+3 and Rasmussen R+5.