Excuse the points of discontinuity in the graph, but it is appropriate considering how these pollsters are thinking. I swear if you did a graph of their brainwaves it would be a four-cusped hypocycloid.
Still, Romney up!
I don’t buy the landslide talk from either side. Going to come down to a couple swing states.
Sadly, I had called it at 9 AM CST
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2955125/posts#31
1% is enough according to one of Nate Silvers recent articles:
Mr. Romney would not be in much danger of losing the Electoral College if he won the popular vote by more than about 1.5 percentage points. For example, he would be about a 95 percent favorite in the Electoral College if he won the popular vote by two percentage points, according to the forecast model.
But with national polls now showing a slight edge for Mr. Obama, these outcomes have become less likely. If Mr. Romney wins the popular vote, it may be only barely, and that might not be enough for him to win the Electoral College.
Still not too bad. Thu and Fri were good Obama days.
Romney wins by 1%, he wins the election.
Is this Gallup faking it or is it the Sandy/christie/media/bls bump?
No matter what Gallup does Romney will win and we’ll save our country from this communist Obama.
China makes most of our stuff: Obama makes U.S. uncompetitive
The U.S. economy is crap . We can’t even make most of our own stuff we use as China is making that and beating us. Obama has been president for 4 years so it’s that piece of crap’s fault.Obama’s socialism has destroyed the U.S. economy . We have much more coal, oil, shale oil , natural gas etc. than China but Obama is restricting energy production which could have created cheap energy for manufacturers . Instead China is building 1 coal power plant per week and makes most things we use ( more every day but the media lies and says the economy is great). 17 million more people on food stamps, 8 million more on disability , 20 million more unemployed. millions of manufacturing jobs lost , 50% college grads can’t find jobs, other good jobs replaced with fast food jobs and part time jobs all this with 6 trillion $ in debt it added on us . after election Obama ‘s EPA plans to almost completely shut down coal,oil, natural gas etc. Don’t you democrats and other voters for Obama get it socialism never works
I couldn’t care less about national polls to be honest. Good to gauge movement but hardly indicative to the swing states.
I still think all the pollsters have basically got together and done a big ole C YA, none of them want to be out on a limb.
Bottom line number in Gallup:
O still can’t crack 50%.
Its over. He certainly is not going to get 48% - he’ll get less as losing candidates usually do.
How much we’ll have to wait to find out tomorrow night.
Again, Williard Mitt Romney WILL be our President!
Excuse the points of discontinuity in the graph, but it is appropriate considering how these pollsters are thinking. I swear if you did a graph of their brainwaves it would be a four-cusped hypocycloid.
I think this is great news. I assumed Obama would get his 47% that Romney talked about plus 1% for their efforts. This leaves the remaining 3% divided up as 2 for Romney and 1 for Obama for total of 51% to 49%. 2% is enough for electoral win.
I guess it's good they still have Romney up but I'm not buying that Obama got a 4-6 point bounce just because he put his arms around Chris Christie and pretended to care (for just a day) about a hurricane.
Would like to see the differences by day. I wonder which candidate (if either) gained momentum on Saturday or Sunday. My guess is Romney did, but that is just a guess.
I know one thing. If conservatives show up and vote tomorrow. We win.
If they stay home in protest, we lose. Period.
Is this registered voters or likely voters? Gallup publishes both. If it’s likely voters, it’s bad news; if it’s registered voters, the election is in the bag for Romney.
Bottomline.
Romney leads in both Gallup and Rasmussen on final day. While Romney has all the enthusiasm.
Who’d you rather be? I’ll take being in the lead.
Gallup is almost always right, except for Dewey-Truman and Ford-Carter they’ve picked the winner:
http://www.gallup.com/poll/9442/election-polls-accuracy-record-presidential-elections.aspx
what do the internals tell you?
Look folks, A one percent Gallup lead is better then a tie!!! Now for the real skinny. Polls, this time around, do not mean anything. These pollsters have weighted these polls so skewed with false Democrat percentages, they are useless. There are significantly more folks that identify themselves as Republicans then there are folks who call themselves Democrats.
Simple facts: Rally Crowd size, Romney wins, Energy/Enthusism, Romney wins, voter turnout Romney wins and yes...even with the Rasmussen/Gallup numbers, Romney still wins. If fact: Lots of you naysayers are going to be dumbfounded on the positive results for Romney/Ryan tomorrow evening. I am a “demographic” fanatic....and study the numbers below the top, Romney blows Obama away!!!
And....even if that is not true.....life is going to miserable for Obama with the House remaining Pubbie and the strong possibility the Senate turning Republican. However, we will have a triple win tomorrow night of massive proportions.....so give up on the negative and...live on the positive. ABO!!! And.....should Romney not be successful, we must continue the fight. Benghasi, Libya will cripple Obama...he will be a real lame duck from day one!!!
Are most of the pollsters calling it this way because none of them has any idea what's really going on?
Or, do I smell Chris Christie smirking somewhere after he did everything he could to make Obama look good during a disaster to open the door for 2016? Hopefully, that fat sack of poop doesn't want to be anything more than Governor of NJ.
My Final: R-53%, O-46%, Others-1%
Gallup has only been wrong on picking the winner twice.
Dewey over Truman and Ford over Carter.
Bulk of undecideds go to challenger.
I rather be RR than OB.