Oct 2010: R 33.4% D 36.3% O 30.3% (R-2.9%)
WOW!
Holy cow. If this is accurate, the polling is WAAAAAY off and we very well be looking at a landslide.
If thats correct...Obama is more than screwed tomorrow, it will be a landslide. I’m not joking about that, the Obama electorate this year in 2012 has been one big illusion pulled on the american people.
Holy cow...8.7% swing from 2010?
If this is true, how can Rasmussen have the election at R+1? That makes no sense.
OK, very good. So the next obvious question is why aren’t we seeing this in his daily polling results?
So is that the expected turnout?
L A N S L I D E.
Party registration can’t have changed that much. Perhaps Republicans are finally answering pollster’s phone calls more?
Then unless there has been a sudden surge of Republicans for Obama, polls showing this to be a tight race are full of it.
Lets see.....
The republicans are + 5.8% and Mitt has the independents in double digits......and this is a close election??
Is this landslide like a 900 pound gorilla in the room and every pollster is ignoring?? Something is not adding up folks.
CRITICAL Datapoint ping.
See NHWinGut’s post above
I just don’t understand how there can be such disparity between these numbers, the crowds, and the polls.
I’m ready for tomorrow just so I can see which side was actually right.
But God, I sure hope it’s Romney and the Republicans...
This is Rasmussen’s party ID rolling research that has 15000 or so respondents. It’s basically good news for Romney, because it is a snapshot of the nation as it is, and with most independents supporting Romney, this should mean a Romney victory. In any case, it’s good news for Romney.
And with Republicans traditional higher % of voting participation, the “polls” still oversample Dems . . . makes no statistical sense at all
I’m praying for a 1980, redux
WHOA!!!! And cometh the WILD CARD!
Kind of odd that Ras didn’t link this on his homepage.
So HIS presidential tracking poll reflects an electorate 7.8% MORE Democrat than his own extensive electorate surveys show?
I believe Rasmussen will use this “new data” to change the weighting for his final poll tomorrow morning. He’s waited for the other pollsters to call it a tie in their final polls. He will release his final poll and be the only one to be correct.
This is GREAT NEWS!!! This will be just like 2010..I am NOT going to listen to the fear porn coming from the likes of Fox News or Fox Business Network anymore..after seeing this, its just like 2010 and we are going to win!!