Morris sounded really confident. I know he hasn’t been right all the time, but he basically put his 40 years of reading polls and his career on the line tonight. He wouldn’t back down.
I’m no statistician, but it makes no sense to me that you can randomly sample different groups, numbers of people, different states and in poll after poll keep telling the American people it’s tied. What are the odds of that? Even with weighting, it shouldn’t come out exactly tied (not just within the margin of error) but exactly tied in so many polls, especially with oversampling in different polls by differing amounts.
All this talk of 300+ EVs is unjustified. I hope I am wrong and Romney loses, but I trust the aggregation of polls more than I trust Dick Morris' prognostications.
All this talk of 300+ EVs is unjustified. I hope I am wrong and Romney wins, but I trust the aggregation of polls more than I trust Dick Morris' prognostications.
Dick Morris makes millions of dollars a year helping candidates and parties win world-wide. There’s a reason both Trent Lott and Bill Clinton hired him. If he, Michael Barone and Karl Rove say it’s gonna rain, buy a boat.
That is exactly what I keep saying. But, not only this election but every election. Every important election. It seems nearly impossible in my mind that this is always the case. How can that be? It just can’t.