Skip to comments.New absentee ballot numbers in PA, OH show clear Romney edge
Posted on 11/04/2012 2:20:15 PM PST by Zhang Fei
The latest Pennsylvania absentee ballot returns are in and show Republicans opening up a 19-point lead over the Democrats a 17-point swing from the 2008 absentee results.
Romney continues to demonstrate momentum in Ohio, with the latest absentee returns showing a nine-point swing to Republicans compared to 2008.
This spells trouble for the Obama campaign, even if Obama is leading the early voting in Ohio (which isnt necessarily true). In 2008, Obama trailed McCain by 1.9 percent among the 295,000 absentee voters in Pennsylvania. In 2012, Obama trails Governor Romney by 18.8 percent among the 115,000 absentee voters (assuming Democrats vote for Obama, Republicans vote for Romney). Obama won the state by 10 percent overall in 2008.
In 2008, Democrats had a 15.6 percent advantage among the 1.4 million absentee voters in Ohio. Democrats now lead by only 6.5 percent among the states 1.2 million absentee voters (where data is available). In Ohio, voters dont register by parties, but we can determine party by how they voted in previous primaries. President Obama won Ohio by 4.6 percent in 2008.
These early indicators arent always conclusive, but it sure should make the Obama campaign uncomfortable and give conservatives added energy heading into next week.
Conservatives, including American Majority Actions grassroots volunteers, have helped turn Pennsylvania into a swing state. This doesnt just happen. While the economy and the first presidential debate have pushed more voters to doubt the presidents ability to lead, groups like American Majority Action have been organizing in the state for months.
Since Labor Day, American Majority Actions multiple offices have engaged more than 400 staff and volunteers to knock on tens of thousands of doors across swing states delivering a message about the need for limited government.
Victory in Ohio is now in reach. Pennsylvania was considered an easy win for Obama earlier this year, but we believe its totally in play. If the Keystone State goes red next Tuesday, it will be because of the hard work of hundreds of concerned taxpayers who gave their time to keep America free.
I think it’s always a good idea to count the votes prior to election day. That way, the bad guys know exactly how many votes they need to “find” in that back room.
Don’t write off MN - I’ve never seen anything like the crowd Ryan just got there and its a Deep Blue State!
Very promising signs. Just make sure that when you vote for Romney it counts for Romney.
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Philadelphia is going to have to turn out 112% to counter this..
The AOL start-up page says Obama is winning in all battleground states. I heard Axelrod on Fox saying the same thing. Thank the Lord for Free Republic!!
I am a mite uneasy after looking at the crowd Obama had in Cincinnati tonight. It looked huge and not at all like the picture I gathered reading the posts on Free Republic.
Does anyone have details on that rally?