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To: goldstategop

True Pew does over sample dems, and Ras is even sampling dems +4 this week. The only thing that gets me a little wobbly is off year elections like 2010 are not the same as general elections. The party out of power always puts up better numbers especially considering 2010 there was still time to stop Obamacare and the unemployment number was even worse than now. That motivated republicans to come out +1.
Not sure it’s gonna happen on Tuesday but I don’t think it’ll be 2008 for Obama either

I’m at peace with whatever happens because, all we can do is vote, donate, volunteer for our side. Once that’s all over and people vote it’s not up to us anymore.


22 posted on 11/04/2012 2:41:50 PM PST by snarkytart
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To: snarkytart
It not only the +6 Dem sample, they also over sample Reps to reduce the Indy impact in the poll.

They do that because the Indy vote is massively in Romney's favor. Run a rational 37D-34R-29Indy sample and you would get a seriously different result more favorable to Romney

23 posted on 11/04/2012 2:46:20 PM PST by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: snarkytart

yeah, not happy about Pew either. They are not as easily dismissed as other polls. BUT, most of this seems to be a last minute Sandy bump. And they stopped polling yesterday. Bumps come, bumps go. Let’s see what happens on Election Day.


24 posted on 11/04/2012 2:49:02 PM PST by Arthurio
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