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The Post-ABC tracking poll is a series of consecutive, one-night “waves” of interviews reported as a rolling, multi-night average. The new results are for interviews conducted Oct. 30 to Nov. 2, among a random sample of 1,809 likely voters. The results have an error margin of plus or minus three percentage points.
1 posted on 11/03/2012 9:21:41 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: Arthurio

I am told to disregard all polls at this point. But the sum total of everything coming in now, gives me increasing confidence. Everyone needs to pray & vote.


2 posted on 11/03/2012 9:26:17 PM PDT by outofstyle (Down All the Days)
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To: Arthurio
Romney will campaign in suburban Philly on Sunday. Will the suburban Philly vote and thus the PA vote go for Romney?

If suburban NYC's Newsday endorsement of Romney is any indication of what's going on in the suburbs of the NE, then yes PA will vote Romney.

3 posted on 11/03/2012 9:36:06 PM PDT by FreeReign
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To: Arthurio

Since the polls are overly weighted towards the D, this means a hugh and series victory for our side.


4 posted on 11/03/2012 9:38:37 PM PDT by rdl6989 (January 20, 2013 The end of an error.)
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To: Arthurio
An interesting thing about this poll is that Romney is getting 6% more of his base than Obama is of his. (97% of Republicans for Romney, 91% of Democrats for Obama). The independent number is a little troubling, but this poll was taken a couple days ago in aftermath of the Hurricane (Oct 30 - Nov 2) so Obama probably got a bump from that which has already worn off.
5 posted on 11/03/2012 9:39:20 PM PDT by apillar
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To: Arthurio

Let’s re-phrase that to reflect reality:

“The WaPo-ABC tracking poll is all tied up as election day draws near and pollsters switch from influencing mode to trying to end up with a final prediction that won’t get them laughed out of the business for the next election cycle.”


8 posted on 11/03/2012 9:46:59 PM PDT by bigbob
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To: Arthurio

Independents are not even, they are breaking for Romney six to one in most cases.

What a clown poll.


13 posted on 11/03/2012 9:57:13 PM PDT by Senator Goldwater
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To: Arthurio
http://news.yahoo.com/elections/polls/ Yahoo! has already called the race for Obama with 303 decisive electoral votes.
16 posted on 11/03/2012 10:19:26 PM PDT by douginthearmy
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To: Arthurio; All

Really disturbed by the independent numbers.

The trend there I think is undeniable.....they are now in the latest polls even or for Obama or barely Romney.

Scary...

GOTV.

Believe that’s due to Sandy and just temporary, but who knows. GOTV just in case.


17 posted on 11/03/2012 10:38:28 PM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: Arthurio

Why are we putting ANY weight in an ABC/WAPO poll? In the past these polls have shown Obama ahead as have the other media commissioned polls and they have been (rightly) roundly debunked as being partisan.

My take on ALL these media polls is we are in a psyops game now and the media is trying to put out a number which best ensures getting out the vote for their guy.

A poll showing Obama up by 2, 3 or more may cause some liberals to stay home, believing it’s “in the bag” while a tied or 1 point race will cause people to feel they can win this if they just make sure they vote. IOW, they feel THEIR vote can really make a difference.

OTOH the professional pollster such as Gallup and Ras. will have much more of an interest in getting it right because polling is their primary livelihood. That said I am not past believing even these pollsters will hedge a bit and not go out on a limb predicting a winner unless it is a wide margin of difference.

I have no inside info but I fully expect Rasmussen to NOT call a winner while Gallup, based on the last result showing Romney up by 5 and their extensive research on enthusiasm and how people are self identifying regards Party affiliation, most probably will call a winner in this race in his last published result Monday.


23 posted on 11/04/2012 2:11:07 AM PST by Lacey2
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To: Arthurio

So what is this, a D+15 sample?


26 posted on 11/04/2012 6:02:38 AM PST by SoFloFreeper
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To: Arthurio

Barry and Mittens being tied among Independents is a joke.


29 posted on 11/04/2012 6:14:34 AM PST by Bridesheadfan
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To: Arthurio

LOL! Just as everyone predicted, the fraudulent polls of the preceding weeks have “tightened up” to show a dead even race so the media can save a little face when Romney wins.


30 posted on 11/04/2012 6:44:36 AM PST by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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