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To: Arthurio
An interesting thing about this poll is that Romney is getting 6% more of his base than Obama is of his. (97% of Republicans for Romney, 91% of Democrats for Obama). The independent number is a little troubling, but this poll was taken a couple days ago in aftermath of the Hurricane (Oct 30 - Nov 2) so Obama probably got a bump from that which has already worn off.
5 posted on 11/03/2012 9:39:20 PM PDT by apillar
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To: apillar

Yup. 4 day sample. I expect Romney’s numbers to improve as storm days fall off.


6 posted on 11/03/2012 9:43:42 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: apillar
D33/R29/I34 If anybody is interested.

Seems a little high on the independents, about right on democrat, and laughably low on Republicans (29% was the 2008 turnout). 35D/36R/29I is what Gallup says is the current makeup. Re-average for that and Romney has a 2 or 3 point lead.

9 posted on 11/03/2012 9:48:04 PM PDT by apillar
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To: apillar; Arthurio; snarkytart; SeekAndFind; LS; Perdogg; napscoordinator; God luvs America; ...

In 2004 Bush got only 93% of the GOP (Kerry 89% of Dem vote) and Kerry won the Indies by 1%. It appears to be at least a D+5 poll. Still a pretty good poll for Romney.


10 posted on 11/03/2012 9:51:30 PM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: apillar

If the hurricane bump hasn’t already worn off, it will likely be pretty much gone in another couple of days.


21 posted on 11/04/2012 12:48:52 AM PDT by Jeff Winston
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