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Pennsylvania's Most Accurate Pollster Points to Romney Win
Briebart.com ^ | 3 Nov 2012, | Dustin Hawkins

Posted on 11/03/2012 3:13:15 PM PDT by forbushalltheway

Mitt Romney and Republican allies have suddenly poured more than $10 million into Pennsylvania to fund a late push by the presidential challenger.

In what could prove to be a brilliant campaign move, the Romney campaign hid details of a Sunday campaign appearance in Pennsylvania until after the Obama team released their final campaign schedule. Now, a new poll by Susquehanna Polling and Research shows Mitt Romney leading Barack Obama by four points in the Keystone State, 49-45%. Critics have been dismissing Susquehanna's tight polling for over a month based on little more than the fact that a Republican presidential candidate hasn't won Pennsylvania since the 1980s. George W. Bush came close, however, in both of his campaigns. Republicans also took the US Senate seat and Governor's mansion in 2010, despite Pat Toomey being called "unelectable" by the media.

If Romney wins Pennsylvania, the race is over. If the Obama campaign and the media ignores Susquehanna's polling, they do so at their own peril. Let's take a quick look at the three most recent major statewide races in Pennsylvania, and how Susquehanna fared compared to their polling counterparts:

2010 US Senate Race - Susquehanna was the only pollster to nail Pat Toomey's two-point margin of victory over Joe Sestak. The media-despised Rasmussen Reports was second closest (two points off), while Quinnipiac and Public Policy Polling (the "real" pollsters) were off by three points.

2010 PA Governor's Race - Republican Tom Corbett won the race by eight points, 54-46. Susquehanna polled the race within one point, showing Corbett winning by seven points. Rasmussen, PPP, and Quinnipiac reported the same margin, resulting in a four-way tie in correctly predicting the race.

(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Pennsylvania
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To: grimalkin

“RR will be in PA tomorrow in Bucks County (NE of Philadelphia).”

And me out of town . . .


41 posted on 11/03/2012 10:52:05 PM PDT by conservatism_IS_compassion (The idea around which “liberalism" coheres is that NOTHING actually matters except PR.)
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To: dirtboy

Not stupid, tactical. Obama is still desperate to shore up his basse.


42 posted on 11/04/2012 4:59:43 AM PST by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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To: 1010RD

Sorry, it was stupid. Pennsylvania AND Notre Dame doubles down on Catholic. Some Catholics who voted for Obama would see that ad and decide that maybe Romney wasn’t so bad after all.


43 posted on 11/04/2012 6:01:43 AM PST by dirtboy
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To: forbushalltheway

*


44 posted on 11/04/2012 7:00:20 AM PST by tomkat ( PAlabama '12 = RR = 300 +)
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