Skip to comments.Pennsylvania's Most Accurate Pollster Points to Romney Win
Posted on 11/03/2012 3:13:15 PM PDT by forbushalltheway
Mitt Romney and Republican allies have suddenly poured more than $10 million into Pennsylvania to fund a late push by the presidential challenger.
In what could prove to be a brilliant campaign move, the Romney campaign hid details of a Sunday campaign appearance in Pennsylvania until after the Obama team released their final campaign schedule. Now, a new poll by Susquehanna Polling and Research shows Mitt Romney leading Barack Obama by four points in the Keystone State, 49-45%. Critics have been dismissing Susquehanna's tight polling for over a month based on little more than the fact that a Republican presidential candidate hasn't won Pennsylvania since the 1980s. George W. Bush came close, however, in both of his campaigns. Republicans also took the US Senate seat and Governor's mansion in 2010, despite Pat Toomey being called "unelectable" by the media.
If Romney wins Pennsylvania, the race is over. If the Obama campaign and the media ignores Susquehanna's polling, they do so at their own peril. Let's take a quick look at the three most recent major statewide races in Pennsylvania, and how Susquehanna fared compared to their polling counterparts:
2010 US Senate Race - Susquehanna was the only pollster to nail Pat Toomey's two-point margin of victory over Joe Sestak. The media-despised Rasmussen Reports was second closest (two points off), while Quinnipiac and Public Policy Polling (the "real" pollsters) were off by three points.
2010 PA Governor's Race - Republican Tom Corbett won the race by eight points, 54-46. Susquehanna polled the race within one point, showing Corbett winning by seven points. Rasmussen, PPP, and Quinnipiac reported the same margin, resulting in a four-way tie in correctly predicting the race.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
Where are NH, CO and NV?
If Romney wins Pennsylvania, as Susquehanna suggests he is on the verge of doing, he no longer needs Ohio, Wisconsin, Nevada, Iowa, or New Hampshire. Of course, if he does win Pennsylvania, he stands to win some of those states, too. At this point Romney isn't just looking for a win. He is looking for a mandate.
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I think I won’t get sleep the next 3 days. God, let this be over, and let this country survive this revenge-mongering community divider.
Romney on the campaign trail this weekend: quietly confident, looking forward to the next 4 years. 0bama: angry, exhausted.
Oh, and they ran it during the Notre Dame game as well. Possibly one of the dumbest political ad placements I've seen. It would be like running an ad for Depends on MTV.
RR will be in PA tomorrow in Bucks County (NE of Philadelphia).
I saved some valium from some dental work I had done just to get through the next few days. LOL!
Please, Pennsylvania... let it be real this time.
LOL. I hope Chrissy Mathews is wearing his Depends on Tuesday night or he will feel something different going down his leg.
If you take Philly out of the equation, PA IS a Red State.
And its been trending Red for 20 years.
Wasn’t it already established this was an old poll?
There are lots of conservatives in PA. They are motivated to vote!!!
Is this the latest SQ poll? Earlier today it was reported this was an old poll that got reposted last night and everyone ran with him. My understanding there is a new poll coming out sunday which will show it closer than 4. Not trying to be a downer, but that is what I saw this morning.
Oh how I wish this was true but every other poll disagrees :(
Your “concern” is duly noted....
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