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Nate Silver: 'Romney, clearly, could still win'
Politico ^

Posted on 10/29/2012 2:44:15 PM PDT by Arthurio

By DYLAN BYERS |

10/29/12 3:27 PM EDT

Nate Silver could be a one-term celebrity.

The New York Times' resident political predictor says President Barack Obama currently has a 74.6% chance of winning re-election. It's a prediction that liberals, whose heart rates continue to fluctuate with the release of every new poll, want to take solace in, but somehow can't. Sure, this is the guy who correctly predicted the outcome of the 2008 election in 49 of 50 states, but this year's polls suggest a nail-biter.

"Romney, clearly, could still win," Silver told POLITICO today.

(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: natesilver

1 posted on 10/29/2012 2:44:15 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: Arthurio

“Could still win?” How ‘bout will win, but 0 may still win if he cheats enough?


2 posted on 10/29/2012 2:45:28 PM PDT by madison10
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To: Arthurio

understatement of the election!


3 posted on 10/29/2012 2:46:49 PM PDT by Shadow44
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To: Arthurio
Dear Nate; Here's a thought.

Photobucket

Hope you enjoy

4 posted on 10/29/2012 2:47:35 PM PDT by plangent
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To: Arthurio

LOL I’ve seen libs posting Silver’s predictions of zero’s impending win all week on FB.

I won’t gloat on FB when he loses. But I will be verrrrrry happy :)


5 posted on 10/29/2012 2:50:48 PM PDT by Reddy (B.O. stinks)
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To: Arthurio
Dear Nate:

It ain't over, 'till it's over.

0bama has certainly left a mess to clean up.

6 posted on 10/29/2012 2:50:57 PM PDT by Paladin2
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To: Arthurio

Ya think, Nate? Really?


7 posted on 10/29/2012 2:52:11 PM PDT by muir_redwoods (Don't fire until you see the blue of their helmets)
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To: Arthurio

How did Twinkle Toes do with the Walker recall a few months ago?


8 posted on 10/29/2012 2:52:34 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Ambassador Stevens Is Dead And The Chevy Volt Is Alive)
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To: Arthurio
Sespite his two month long dialy, even today, prediction that Obama will win and win big, he is inching the towel back. He shall have to use the obscure blog quotes to try and keep his job, LMAO!!!


9 posted on 10/29/2012 2:53:43 PM PDT by NoLibZone (I know what it is to be Black,to be hated for who I am, more so than Whoppi does. I'm a Republican.)
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To: Arthurio

I don’t know who this fool is but if he would just check out the website fivethirtyeight he would know that Romney has no chance what so over.


10 posted on 10/29/2012 2:58:20 PM PDT by Raycpa
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To: Arthurio
Soooo...Obama will win. Unless he doesn't.

This is what passes for brilliant analysis on the left...

11 posted on 10/29/2012 3:01:06 PM PDT by TheBigB (I voted 4 Obama & all I got was this lousy t-shirt & 15 mins in the back of a Prius with Sandy Fluke)
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To: Arthurio
Soooo...Obama will win. Unless he doesn't.

This is what passes for brilliant analysis on the left...

12 posted on 10/29/2012 3:02:26 PM PDT by TheBigB (I voted 4 Obama & all I got was this lousy t-shirt & 15 mins in the back of a Prius with Sandy Fluke)
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To: Gay State Conservative
How did Twinkle Toes do with the Walker recall a few months ago?

He did fine, actually. Started off as too close to call about a year out then was mostly "Walker likely to survive" for the rest of the time.

But it was a no-brainer; Walker's approval rating was never underwater. That alone would make him a likely winner, but even then some of the "disapproves" were going to vote for Walker because, regardless of their disapproval, they didn't believe a full-on recall election was justified. When viewed in that way, Silver's performance looks a bit worse, as he should have gone all the way to saying Walker was an almost-certain winner.

Given how straight-forward that race really was (as outlined above), I don't think his performance there reflects positively on his predictions for the presidential race.
13 posted on 10/29/2012 3:03:23 PM PDT by verum ago (Some people must truly be in love, for only love can be so blind.)
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To: Raycpa
I don’t know who this fool is but if he would just check out the website fivethirtyeight he would know that Romney has no chance what so over.

Nate Silver is the writer of fivethirtyeight.

(But given his ego, it wouldn't surprise me if he cited his own website to support conclusions on his website)
14 posted on 10/29/2012 3:07:22 PM PDT by verum ago (Some people must truly be in love, for only love can be so blind.)
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To: Raycpa
Which fool? The one from Politico, or the guy from the Times, or both? Because the fool from the Times is FiveThirtyEight.
15 posted on 10/29/2012 3:15:11 PM PDT by RichInOC (Romney/Ryan 2012: Some Men Just Want To Watch The World Burn. For Everybody Else, There's Us.)
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To: verum ago

I think Ray was making a joke.


16 posted on 10/29/2012 3:17:32 PM PDT by maro (We tried the hope. It's time for change.)
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To: Arthurio

Nate Silver is actually playing a pretty smart game here. He’s building a following of libs. When he’s wrong, he will suffer no consequences at all because he is a lib. If he happens to somehow be right, he’s a hero. It’s a no lose situation for him. Our scorn means nothing to him.


17 posted on 10/29/2012 3:17:52 PM PDT by cdcdawg
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To: Arthurio

There is a 78.5% chance that Nate Silver will be yesterday’s news by Nov. 7


18 posted on 10/29/2012 3:25:25 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: maro

I know, but I thought in case Ray wasn’t, I’d post anyway and risk looking a fool who hasn’t had his coffee.

Just as parties have designated drivers, I’m willing to be the designated fool of a thread :)


19 posted on 10/29/2012 3:26:13 PM PDT by verum ago (Some people must truly be in love, for only love can be so blind.)
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To: RichInOC; verum ago

They cannot be the same guy. The guy over at 538 is 75.9876% certain that Romney is a looser. He has no chance in Ohio, all the recent polls show Romney lost his momentum and that Obama is solidifying his lead.


20 posted on 10/29/2012 3:33:20 PM PDT by Raycpa
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To: Arthurio
'Romney, clearly, could still win'

             


Ya forgot the 'NYT Delusional Fellating Moron Alert' !

21 posted on 10/29/2012 3:40:52 PM PDT by tomkat
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To: Arthurio

This thread is an opportune plate to note the lack of [vulgarity deleted] postings about Intrade numbers over the last month. They certainly made a nuisance of themselves earlier in the year.


22 posted on 10/29/2012 3:46:02 PM PDT by relictele
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To: Raycpa

The thing that sickens me to no end is that the last image the low information (idiot) voters will take to the voting booth will be of Hussein in his yellow coat helping comfort hurricane victims.

It might be just enough to pull his sorry Kenyan butt over the finish line and bring the Nate Silver worship from the libs to a whole new level.


23 posted on 10/29/2012 3:57:44 PM PDT by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: comebacknewt

Obama has provided more assistance to governors than he has to his ambassadors.


24 posted on 10/29/2012 4:03:01 PM PDT by Raycpa
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To: Arthurio

25 posted on 10/29/2012 4:21:53 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: cdcdawg

Absolutely true.

No matter what happens, Obama, Silver, Biden, Hillary...they’re ALL heroes for life for the leftist droolers.

These people, remember, still think of Jimmy Carter as a hero. LBJ, too...all of LBJ’s micro-management and subsequent handcuffing of America in Vietnam, his ruination of the black family via welfare, all of that is FORGOTTEN.

Carter’s gasoline lines, humiliation from Muslim extremists in Iran, his impotent response to Soviet domination of Asia, FORGOTTEN.

Clinton’s obvious failures in lying under oath, his sleeping at the wheel as the dot-com bubble inflated the stock market, his weak-kneed response to the Cole bombings and embassy bombings in Africa, all FORGOTTEN.

The leftists make HEROES out of their failures—contrast this to conservatives...arguably the worst Republican president in the last 50 years was Nixon. You ever hear a full throated defense of him from conservatives? Nope. You hear the truth: while good on anti-Communist expansion and a need to engage China, Nixon screwed up by wage and price controls and implementing the horrendous EPA.

Basically, I think conservatives are MORE HONEST about their history—liberals whitewash and deify their heroes.

Reagan is, I admit, a bit of a “demigod” by us conservatives....but only because he was SUCH a rarity and fought so long to finally win the presidency. Still, Reagan left us with some problems: Sandra Day O’Connor, for instance...and his response to the Marine bombing in Lebanon wasn’t the best. My point isn’t to rip Reagan...he was 10,000 times better than Carter. He just wasn’t perfect.

Romney, too, won’t be perfect. Far from it. He WILL be a better President than Obama.


26 posted on 10/29/2012 4:44:28 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: Arthurio

If Nate Silver wants to lay 3 to 1 odds, I’ll take $5k of that action.


27 posted on 10/29/2012 4:51:23 PM PDT by Fitzy_888 ("ownership society")
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To: SoFloFreeper

Nate Silver is insane. If his numbers are accurate then Romney has no chance, but I think he is wrong


28 posted on 10/29/2012 4:52:52 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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