[Fai Mao]

So, a +8 Dem poll when at best it should probably be +2 which makes Romney up by +1

[lgwdnbdgr]

2008, Oregon was 36/27/37 (D/R/I)
2004, Oregon was 32/34/34 (D/R/I)

Independents backed Kerry 58-40 in 2004. In Portland, most unaffiliated voters register that way because they think the Democratic Party is too conservative.

[napscoordinator]

Are you saying that Oregon should only be +2? I thought it was way more liberal that that.