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To: barmag25

35000 calls were made to get 1122 participants? That seems like a lot of calls for such a low participation rate.


16 posted on 10/24/2012 5:09:54 PM PDT by rwh
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To: rwh

Not really hard to believe... a huge chunk of the calls will be voicemail/answering machines. And then once they get a hold of a live human, it may be a kid or someone who doesn’t speak English. After that, there’s only about a 10% or less participation rate.

Most people hear “Hi, I am Fred from Gallup...”

The pollster then hears: < Click, Dial Tone >


18 posted on 10/24/2012 5:20:01 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: rwh
"Thirty five thousand (35,000) calls were placed, and 1,122 respondents fully participated in the survey. The margin of error for this total polling sample is 2.93% with a confidence level of 95%."

That's about a three (3) percent response rate! Even the 47% slackers can't be bothered to respond to polls!

20 posted on 10/24/2012 5:25:33 PM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
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To: rwh

Dirty little secret of all pollsters. Sensible people can’t be bothered to be interrogated by strangers on the phone.


22 posted on 10/24/2012 5:51:52 PM PDT by relictele
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To: rwh
35000 calls were made to get 1122 participants? That seems like a lot of calls for such a low participation rate.

And that is why the polls are now rubbish: with response rates that low, the conclusions are unstable and liable to be biased (though you can't tell how) due to some systematic cause for non-response. You can't publish a paper based on a survey in any reputable journal in the social or behavioral sciences with a response rate of under 30%.

Of course, it may be that 35K represents the number of digit strings dialed, and that a lot of them were not phone numbers assigned to any users, in which case we don't really know anything about the response rate other than that it was greater than the 3.2% it would have been had all the numbers dialed been valid phone numbers.

36 posted on 10/24/2012 6:53:50 PM PDT by The_Reader_David (And when they behead your own people in the wars which are to come, then you will know...)
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To: rwh

That’s a 3% participation rate. Most pollsters are currently running at about 9% for a live poll, so an automated poll at 3% doesn’t seem too terribly out of wack.


55 posted on 10/24/2012 8:55:18 PM PDT by Private_Sector_Does_It_Better (I AM ANDREW BREITBART)
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