Posted on 10/24/2012 2:15:27 PM PDT by nhwingut
President Obama scored a modest win in the third presidential debate, according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll, but it’s Republican Mitt Romney who moved the needle among likely voters — including independents — with his debate performances.
Overall, the contest remains unchanged from Tuesday, with 49 percent of likely voters nationally backing Romney, and 48 percent supporting Obama. But as was the case after the first and second debates, more voters say they have better, not worse, opinions of the former Massachusetts governor when assessing the three debates.
Most say the president’s debate performances did not change their views of him, a continuing challenge for an incumbent stuck with an approval rating in dangerous territory: 50 percent of likely voters approve of how he’s handling the job, 49 percent disapprove.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
Obama sounds like a whiny little girl.
These polls are driving me nuts. Mainly because they defy logic. In 2008 0bama won independents by 8 points and won the election easily. In 2008, the GOP voters were not excited by McCain.
In 2012, Romney leads with independents by anywhere from 8 to 17 points. The GOP is fired up and the Dems are depressed. Romney should be up by 5 at least.
And that ignores that many conservatives like me never answer the phone during the campaign season unless I recognize the caller.
All that would seem to point to a Romney big win on election day. GO VOTE.
They use Dem. +5.
The partisan ratio in the methodology (at PDF) is Dem. 34% Rep. 29% Ind. 32%.
They say according to their exit poll the 2008 ratio was Dem. 39% Rep.32% Ind. 29%. So they are predicting the Republican turnout in 2012 to be lower than 2008 and basing their formula on that.
Do you see where the indies break out?
I admit that I am a graduate of South Carolina public schools, but doesn't this mean Romney won?
I found it. Indies favor Romney by 9 points!
I like the ABC crosstabs. They break down by day. You can see there was no bounce for Obama. In fact Romney scored better on several questions on 10/23 vs 10/22. Hence the headline.
It shows that the snap polls are basing on Obama not drooling on himself like during the first debate. His bar was set so low.
Obama wanted to prove that he could beat Romney in a debate. Romney wanted to sway voters. Both achieved their goals.
9 was probably the average.
There’s a reason why the leftist swine cowards at the Washington Post don’t venture beyond Fort DC.
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