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To: newheart
I'm still optimistic about Romney. I expect the polls next week to break his way. I'm surprised that Rasmussen is tracking behind the other polls. I'm going to look at that tonight.

I'd like to hope what I'm seeing in the Senate is an anomoly in Rasmussen's polling, since the drop was universal and sudden after the conventions. But somehow, I doubt it. I think the RNC and the Senate reelection committee dropped the ball. Have you seen or heard from McConnell or DeMint at all since the conventions?

-PJ

4 posted on 10/20/2012 3:29:22 PM PDT by Political Junkie Too (If you are the Posterity of We the People, then you are a Natural Born Citizen.)
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6 posted on 10/20/2012 3:33:11 PM PDT by musicman (Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
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To: Political Junkie Too

Rasmussen polling behind others - maybe you’re already taking this into consideration:

I had the same question a week ago - that it looked like Rasmussen was hedging.

Someone pointed out that Rasmussen is not using his own party-affiliation numbers, but using a hard D+3 model - at least nationally. Don’t know what model he’s using at state levels.

Seems like Suffolk, pulling out of FL, NC and VA almost a week before others entertained conceding those states, may be the accurate model this time around.

But I bet someone here has more detail than what I just wrote ...


7 posted on 10/20/2012 3:42:26 PM PDT by HannibalHamlinJr
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