Romney needs to take his surge to the states and help the Senate candidates. As I said last week, it's team-building time for Romeny. He needs to start acting like he's already won the Presidency and he's now putting in place his supporters in the Senate.
-PJ
Ping.
Note the differentiation between the seats that represent GOP Holds and those that represent opportunities for Gains. Democrats currently control 53 seats in the Senate (including two independents who caucus with the Democrats), Republicans 47. If Republicans hold all the seats they have currently, they will need to gain four more seats to have a majority.
Links to GOP primary winners' websites are included so you can learn more about the candidates and donate, if you feel so inclined.
If you're interested in all polling on Senate races, check out Real Clear Politics Senate Polls.
| 10/20/12 Race for the U.S. Senate Ranked Roughly From Most to Least Likely GOP Win | |||
|---|---|---|---|
|
State |
Republican Candidate | Democrat/IND Candidate | Hold OR Gain |
| NE* | Debra Fischer | Bob Kerrey | GAIN |
| AZ* | Jeff Flake | Richard Carmona | HOLD |
| IN* | Richard Mourdock | Joe Donnelly | HOLD |
| WI* | Tommy Thompson | Tammy Baldwin | GAIN |
| NV | Dean Heller+ | Shelley Berkley | HOLD |
| ND* | Rick Berg | Heidi Heitcamp | GAIN |
| MT | Denny Rehberg | Jon Tester | GAIN |
| MA | Scott Brown+ | Elizabeth Warren | HOLD |
| VA* | George Allen | Tim Kaine | GAIN |
| OH | Josh Mandel | Sherrod Brown+ | GAIN |
| FL | Connie Mack | Bill Nelson+ | GAIN |
| MO | Todd Akin | Claire McCaskill+ | GAIN |
| MI | Pete Hoekstra | Debbie Stabenow+ | GAIN |
| CT* | Linda McMahon | Chris Murphy | GAIN |
| PA | Tom Smith | Bob Casey+ | GAIN |
| NM* | Heather Wilson | Martin Heinrich | GAIN |
| NJ | Joe Kyrillos | Bob Menendez+ | GAIN |
| HI* | Linda Lingle | Mazie Hirono | GAIN |
| ME* | Charles Summers | Angus King (Ind.) | HOLD |
| WV | John Raese | Joe Manchin+ | GAIN |
| WA | Michael Baumgartner | Maria Cantwell+ | GAIN |
| *Open Seat +Incumbent | |||
Flake in AZ could easily lose, and Brown in MA also.
AKIN might pull off a shocking win in MO.
Ditto for Mack over Nelson in FL.
We need to give the collapse of the Senate races the highest visibility, so that the RNC can be forced to address it, otherwise Romney will NOT have the control of Congress that he needs to change the course of the nation.
-PJ
Time is running out. Hoping for a knockout punch from Romney Monday night. If he wins, it should be all over - barring the Axe anticipated October surprise.
It ain't over till' it's over. . 17 more days. . May God help us all. .
-PJ
I would assume that the state polls for the Senate contain the same anomaly as the national and state polls for the Presidency. That is, they contain an over-sampling of Democrats.
If so, then many of the closer races will reverse -- if turnout reverts to the 2004 model.
Moreover, Romney's momentum should continue to build -- allowing him to extend a "coattail effect" to many of these races, as well.
Under the circumstances, then, I suspect reality is a little brighter than the current polls suggest.
In any event, after the next debate, it will clearly be time for Romney to address the opportunities in the Senate (Pennsylvania being a perfect example) and for John Cornyn and the RSCC to get their sorry butt in gear.
I would assume that the state polls for the Senate contain the same anomaly as the national and state polls for the Presidency. That is, they contain an over-sampling of Democrats.
If so, then many of the closer races will reverse -- if turnout reverts to the 2004 model.
Moreover, Romney's momentum should continue to build -- allowing him to extend a "coattail effect" to many of these races, as well.
Under the circumstances, then, I suspect reality is a little brighter than the current polls suggest.
In any event, after the next debate, it will clearly be time for Romney to address the opportunities in the Senate (Pennsylvania being a perfect example) and for John Cornyn and the RSCC to get their sorry butt in gear.