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Behavior Research Center (Who are they?) AZ: 0 44% / R:42%
Real Clear Politics ^ | 10-13-12 | RCP

Posted on 10/13/2012 6:30:31 PM PDT by red in brea

OBAMA PULLS EVEN WITH ROMNEY IN ARIZONA;

After trailing Mitt Romney by as much as eight points in the days immediately following the Presidential debate, the President is now in a statistical tie with Romney in Arizona both as regards the overall electorate and among those mostly likely to cast ballots. While Obama leads Romney by two points in the race for President, the gap is within the study’s margin of error and basically means they are in a dead heat. The Democrat candidates are drawing strongly from the ranks of minority voters and especially from Latinos. The credibility of Latino leadership to organize and produce voters via their grass roots campaigns this year will be put to a real test. If Latinos turn out in numbers proportionate to their population, which has never been the case in the past, they could help send a Democrat to the U.S. Senate and revitalize the once long tradition of Arizona having one Democrat and one Republican in the Senate. But if the Latino vote is disproportionately low, the Arizona Senate delegation will almost certainly stay in the GOP column. In a Rocky Mountain Poll completed this week by the Behavior Research Center, President Barack Obama leads Republican challenger Mitt Romney by 42 to 40 percent among all voters and by 44 to 42 percent among those voters who say they are definitely going to participate in the election. Given the 4.4 percent margin of error of this study, we conclude that the race is dead even at this point in time.

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Arizona
KEYWORDS: 2012polls

1 posted on 10/13/2012 6:30:34 PM PDT by red in brea
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To: red in brea
It is a Latino advocacy group
2 posted on 10/13/2012 6:32:42 PM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: red in brea

I call BS


3 posted on 10/13/2012 6:32:42 PM PDT by barmag25
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To: red in brea

Wishful thinking.


4 posted on 10/13/2012 6:32:42 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: red in brea

Obama has less chance in Arizona than Mitt does in Pennsylvania.


5 posted on 10/13/2012 6:35:07 PM PDT by Bobalu (It is not obama we are fighting, it is the media.)
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To: red in brea

It’s that 14% that’s going to bite their boy, Barry, on the @$$. LOL! Barry ain’t winning AZ. Sorry boys.


6 posted on 10/13/2012 6:39:42 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (Dude! Where's my Obama "foam"?)
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To: Bobalu
Obamugabe probably has a better chance in AZ if the hispanics just stay home this time.

He betrayed them ~ or no doubt their leaders have figured that out by now.

7 posted on 10/13/2012 6:39:46 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: FlingWingFlyer

This poll has indies going for Obama and more repubs voting for Obama then dem’s for Mitt . Ahhhhh BULLSHIT. Nice try.


8 posted on 10/13/2012 6:41:26 PM PDT by crosslink (Moderates should play in the middle of a busy street)
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To: red in brea

Complete horsesh**.


9 posted on 10/13/2012 6:41:48 PM PDT by headstamp 2 (What would Scooby do?)
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To: red in brea

Well, here is what they say on page 4 of the survey:

“This Rocky Mountain Poll - Arizona (2012-III-01), is based on 523 interviews with registered voters statewide, conducted between October 4 and 10, 2012. Interviewing was conducted in both English and Spanish by professional interviewers of the Behavior Research Center on either a voter’s
landline or cell phone.”

523 total sample, registered voters, conducted in English and SPANISH!

ANYONE SEE A PROBLEM WITH THIS SAMPLE????


10 posted on 10/13/2012 6:44:37 PM PDT by davandbar
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To: red in brea
Quick html copy of RCP Arizona as of now ...

Polling Data

Poll Date Sample MoE Romney (R) Obama (D) Spread
RCP Average 9/25 - 10/10 -- -- 48.3 43.0 Romney +5.3
Behavior Research Center* 10/4 - 10/10 LV 4.4 42 44 Obama +2
PPP (D) 10/1 - 10/3 595 LV 4.0 53 44 Romney +9
HighGround/Moore (R)* 9/25 - 9/26 500 LV 4.0 46 42 Romney +4
Rasmussen Reports 9/25 - 9/25 500 LV 4.5 52 42 Romney +10

All Arizona: Romney vs. Obama Polling Data

RCP Poll Average
Arizona: Romney vs. Obama
48.3
43.0

11 posted on 10/13/2012 6:46:21 PM PDT by HannibalHamlinJr
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To: red in brea

Funny if Romney does everything to win all the supposed swing states, and then AZ flips to O and we lose. Hilarious. Romney needs to run a portion of his ads nationally with cheap per capita cable buys, like O knows to do.
Romney needs to run national ads to influence the national conversation, as pinpointed regional advertising is often overwritten by the national mood and conversation. O knows this.


12 posted on 10/13/2012 6:47:20 PM PDT by Hokestuk
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To: Hokestuk

I live in AZ. Neither Romney nor Obama are running ads on the networks here. The local ads by the Dem Senatorial and Congressional Committees are really nasty. Romney will win Az. I hope the rest of the races fall into line.


13 posted on 10/13/2012 7:01:18 PM PDT by originalbuckeye
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To: red in brea

The African American population in Phoenix has skyrocketed (percentage wise) since Obama took office.


14 posted on 10/13/2012 7:02:48 PM PDT by libh8er
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To: originalbuckeye; Hokestuk

Check out the AZ polls on RCP. This group has polled AZ three times this year and every time has found Obama ahead... and they’re the ONLY poll to do so, ever.


15 posted on 10/13/2012 7:05:08 PM PDT by MitchellC (President Evil: Redistribution)
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To: red in brea

Depends on how many Latinos have dead F&F relatives!


16 posted on 10/13/2012 7:07:09 PM PDT by rawcatslyentist ("Behold, I am against you, O arrogant one," Jeremiah 50:31)
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To: libh8er
The African American population in Phoenix has skyrocketed (percentage wise) since Obama took office.

Probably part of planned population redistribution so that we are screwed. I wouldn't put it past them. Add in Hispanics. We're screwed long term and / or soon. What the heck are we going to do?

17 posted on 10/13/2012 7:11:20 PM PDT by Hokestuk
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To: Hokestuk

I have read reports stating the HUD is moving low income minorities from the east and midwest to foreclosed homes in Arizona with section-8 vouchers.


18 posted on 10/13/2012 7:38:38 PM PDT by libh8er
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To: red in brea

Mesa, AZ, is the largest Mormon enclave this side of Salt Lake. There is no way O can win this state, unless the undocumented vote.


19 posted on 10/13/2012 8:05:33 PM PDT by nonsporting
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To: libh8er

Wow! I’m shocked that Gov. Brewer, AZ state legislators and AZ citizens are allowing this to happen.


20 posted on 10/13/2012 8:09:55 PM PDT by Jane Long (Soli Deo Gloria!)
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To: nonsporting

In case you haven’t noticed, parts of Mesa are turning ghetto.


21 posted on 10/13/2012 8:45:48 PM PDT by libh8er
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To: libh8er
In case you haven’t noticed, parts of Mesa are turning ghetto.

Your point? There is economic malaise all over the phoenix greater metro area.

We are presently getting a large influx of disgruntled ex-californians who won't be voting for Obama.

22 posted on 10/14/2012 5:47:05 AM PDT by nonsporting
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