That message was for us, too. Either he must have internal polling that said so or he’s throwing the gauntlet at Big Ears.
It could be internal polling but FR users here (LS, LdSentinal, Ravi) are tracking Ohio absentee ballot requests by county and party. I would suggest searching for their posts every day because the posts are hugely informative.
Bottom-line, absentee requests for Democrats are very much down compared to 2008 and those for Republicans are hugely up. Assuming Dems vote Dem and Reps vote Rep, the numbers are showing large voting intensity for Republicans and much diminished enthusiasm for Democrats, so far anyway. If this trend holds, and it’s showing also in North Carolina, polls showing democratic turnout like 2008 (D+7) will be garbage.
He has been looking at the absentee data that so far suggests Romney will win OH comfortably.