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Posted on 09/25/2012 11:37:54 AM PDT by My Favorite Headache
-PPP's newest Florida Senate poll finds Bill Nelson continuing to expand his lead. He's at 46% to 37% for Connie Mack IV. Three weeks ago Nelson led by 7 points and in early July he had been ahead by only 2.
Nelson's still not popular. Only 34% of voters approve of him to 41% who disapprove. But he lucked out with an extremely weak opponent. Only 30% of voters have a favorable opinion of Mack to 44% with a negative one. Mack's numbers are a particularly dreadful 22/53 spread with independents, and he trails Nelson by 22 points with them at 48-26.
The most striking finding in the poll is that Nelson leads Mack 44-41 with white voters. If a Democrat can win white voters in Florida they're headed for a blowout victory overall, and increasingly that appears to be the case in this race
-Mitt Romney didn't get much of a bounce out of the Republican convention in Florida, but Marco Rubio sure has. His approval breakdown this month is 52/32, the best we've found for him since he took office. He's on solid 50/33 ground with independents and has a higher than normal 26% of Democrats who approve of him. Rubio's approval numbers were pretty middling for the last year and a half but he's seen a noticeable improvement since the convention.
-38% of Florida voters approve of Rick Scott this month to 48% who disapprove. His numbers, although still bad, continue to be better than they've been for most of his term. Scott trails a generic Democratic opponent for reelection by a 48/42 margin.
One specific person who seems like he could be the Democratic candidate for Governor in 2014 is Charlie Crist. He leads Scott 48-43 in a hypothetical contest. Crist is not an overwhelmingly popular figure in Florida anymore though. 39% of voters have a favorable opinion of him to 43% with a negative one. His numbers with Democrats (up from 44/33 to 55/22) and Republicans (down from 24/60 to 19/69) have headed in opposite directions in the three weeks since he appeared at the Democratic convention. 48% of voters think he should complete the switch and become a Democrat to 21% who think he should not and that sentiment is held among Democrats (61/11) and Republicans (40/33) alike.
-And finally Democrats lead the generic Congressional ballot in Florida 47-43.
This is Pure Propaganda Polling
I would say PPP is a corrupt Dem group. But all pollsters are corrupt this go around, other than Gallup and Rasmussen.
Either this poll is pure BS or there is too much crack being spread around in Florida. NO WAY are people this dumb to elect a guy who is FOR Obamacare
Doesn’t that only add up to 83 percent?
I’m in Central Florida. I see ads attacking Mack all the time. I see no commercials from Mack. Nelson is the only one that seems visible and he is making Mack look like a punk.
I’m in Central Florida. I see ads attacking Mack all the time. I see no commercials from Mack. Nelson is the only one that seems visible and he is making Mack look like a punk.
The media’s false narrative of Dem victories is necessary to account for the impending onslaught of voter fraud perpetrated by Democrats.
There are a lot of pro-leftist retirees in Florida.
if Mack does not win he should burn in hell...despite not being able to beat Nelson his entry forced Tea Party favorite Adam Hasner out of contention for the GOP nomination...
if Mack does not win he should burn in hell...despite not being able to beat Nelson his entry forced Tea Party favorite Adam Hasner out of contention for the GOP nomination...
Dont those elderly retirees know that once Obamacare is implemented they will be the first ones to be given a pill and sent home to die..geez what dummies. I had read how leftists were going around retirement homes and telling seniors that Romney will take away their medicare, I guess some are actually believing the BS
PPP is a lying democrap group.
They do it every election in Florida. They are called “Condo Commandos” and “Nursing Home Hawks”. They get seniors with dementia and almost bed ridden to fill out absentee ballots and literally help them fill in the blanks with their agenda driven answers.
Connie Mack announced late that he wanted to be Senator like his dad...he basically hijacked the primary...and since then, he has been absent. Very, very few ads.
Really kind of pisses me off, because Nelson is an Obamugabe asskisser, and is getting away with ads that portray him as a man of God and independent....pathetic.
Not surprising, they target the ones who are seriously ill and vote for them. This is why we need Voter ID laws and the reason why Dems are against it is because they need voter fraud to win, they always have
It’s PPP. They work for the DNC.
We do bath salts, not crack, down here.
Where are the GOP condo commandos and nursing home hawks? It’s called the ground game, and if you don’t play you can’t win.
That’s about in line with Ras’ latest, isn’t it?
I was always under the impression Spaceman Nelson was one of the Sainted Ones, who would stay in office until he chose to retire. I was hoping I was wrong. Too bad Florida voters seem to be OK with his lockstep obedience to Obama and his every whim.
Other pollsters aren’t too rosy in many of the Senate races either. While I think this is temporary and will change as we get closer and they have all their debates (and the presidential candidates debate), I am getting concerned the Senate may be out of reach.
We need it for one reason.
SCOTUS. I will eat my shoe if we do not have a retirement from the court over the next couple years. It WILL happen. We MUST have the Senate.
I think we will. But, not liking much of the Senate polling lately, even Ras. If we get our voters out, we will take it.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Public_Policy_Polling
“RealClearPolitics, which collects and summarizes information from many polls, marks P.P.P. as democrat-leaning.[7]”
Since RealClear Politics is HARDLY conservative, this is interesting.
“I see ads attacking Mack all the time. I see no commercials from Mack. Nelson is the only one that seems visible and he is making Mack look like a punk.”
Ditto everything you said. I’m sorely disappointed in Mack; if he can’t run a better campaign, he should have let somebody else run against the old fart Nelson!
Only 5%? Come on, anyone who is anyone knows that the democrats are ahead in every single election by a gazillion billion%.
Everyone I know has told me that Obama is outspending Romney 3:1 in Florida. I have no idea why, but Romney clearly has a problem.
Ditto!!!
Where the hell is Connie Mack!! Nelson is pounding him with ads.
I feel not only the presidential race slipping away but the Senate too..
*sigh*
This is what you get when you nominate someone like Romney.
Is he even TRYING to win?
That’s what I’m thinking.
lol
even if we had super majority in the senate... there is ZERO chance they would stop an Obama nomination to the court.
yeah... they would through a good show trial, and let a few die hards vote against them just to placate us, but in the end the nominee would be appointed.
Nelson ad: Mack is a party boy who does not show up to vote and he passes laws that take your money.
The Mack ad? Well I have only seen a couple, yet Nelson ads calling this guy a useless playboy have been running for months...hence Mack is losing.
I figgure hes probably a RINO, I really dont know
All he has is a famous name, a pretty face, and obviously no money for TV ads or lousy campaign manager or all of the above.
Freegards
LEX
Nelson has been running some vicious ads in recent weeks, and Mack only now seems to be getting his ads out.
Mack needs to get out and get active....and also the GOP needs to get behind him. The GOPe were the ones that pushed for Mack...but seem to be squirrely now towards him. Nelson is such a goofball....Mack should be taking advantage of that
Probably the worst news out of all this is that Marco La Raza Rubio got a “bounce” from the GOP convention. Cannot believe people still think Senator DREAM ACT Amnesty is a “conservative”...egad
It’s not Romney, it’s America. Romney has it exactly right. We passed the tipping point. A majority can now vote themselves more of the minorities money. And that’s exactly what they will do. Romney may win and slow it down but the direction is clear. European socialist state but with American urban decay. Bad juju there amigo.
I’m getting exhausted hearing about how every.single.poll. is a lie. I mean can ONE show ANY good news for us? Just ONE?
SHeesh.
We’re losing and people here are in denial. We can still pull this out it’s about six weeks left but it’s not looking so good. Where are the sound bites every day from Romney about this economy and the big Obamacare tax expanding to millions more than originally thought? All I see and here is nothing.
The gas prices are high, food prices, more taxes, more debt, higher unemployment, and this country is ready to send this man back to “Finish what I started”...really?
Just damn.
People in FL think Nelson was an astronaut, and nothing else matters to the uninformed there. It will be funny to see them bring back Crist with a “D” in 2014.
You’re right, and there is a good chance that McC, Cornyn, and Hatch would also forbid the “show trial” in the name of “fairness.”
Keep three facts in mind:
Those people in Florida who actually read above 4th grade level
and vote have figured out that "Mack,"
despite 100 years of baseball-fan name recognition*, is a drooling, Biden-like, RINO fool. When one sees him in person, a rational reaction would be to order up a breathalyzer. It is OK for a Democrat to be an ass-klown like Biden. But a Republican will get called on it by the media.
Of course, Nelson is a drooling left wing Obama-butt-kissing fool. Tough election! But Floridians are afraid that Mack will screw up their food stamps.
BTW, in re this "name-recognition," how many Amricans are actually left who remember who the heck "Connie Mack" actually was. Too bad, because that's all Connie Mack has going for him.
fyi, in cash on hand
Nelson has 10 million and Mack has 1 million.
Nelson has 10 million in cash on hand and Mack has 1 million.
1 million is not very much in FL and I suspect Mack is hording it for a last 2 week push.
I have seen some anti-Nelson ads from a PAC, but I've seen nothing from Mack's campaign. This seat should have been an easy pick-up, but now it's in doubt. Even if mack wins, we have something of a loose cannon on our hands.
As to Florida voters, well, they do leave a lot to be desired. Nelson panders to upstate rurals by talking like they do, but then he votes to please the downstate liberals. So far, it's worked.
You are reading polls with a +9 Democrat oversample.
I don’t know why Scott is so unpopular other than having to deal with a hostile press.
But as far as Mack goes...well, it looks like Republican primary voters there pulled a Sharon Angle and snatched defeat from the jaws of victory.
I mean, surely there was someone better to choose from in the primary, right?
Is the GOP pumping in money to help?
Wow, 17% undecided? wierd.
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