What John McLaughlin [Pollster] Sees in the Polls Right Now

nro ^ | September 21, 2012 8:27 A.M | Jim Geraghty

[ncalburt]

thanks for posting this .
I read his clips on hotair.

we live in a dangerous world with Axelrod and his loyal media storm troopers acting like Gobbles and his henchman.
Tell the lie over and over.

[WXRGina]

I’m tired of the corporateeze phrase “reach out [to]...”

Where did that come from? “If you have any questions, please reach out to me...” “We reached out to him for comment...”

Maybe it came from the old Ma Bell “reach out and touch someone” ad campaign.

[mike_9958]

“The Democrats want to convince [these anti-Obama voters] falsely that Romney will lose to discourage them from voting”

I also see this happening in the blogsphere on random websites, once conservative comments are now being drowned out by libs. I can imagine an army of geeks sitting in a sweaty room banging on the keyboards - “liking” each others posts.

(yes I’m aware of how that sounds)

[Grams A]

I’m tired of the corporateeze phrase “reach out [to].”

Thank you. Final straw was the service company “reaching out to tell me that my tire was repaired”. Modern lingo is just stupid IMO. Quit with the change.

[Red Steel]

From the article.

John McLaughlin - " You can weight to whatever result you want. Some polls have included sizable segments of voters who say they are ‘not enthusiastic’ to vote or non-voters to dilute Republicans. Major pollsters have samples with Republican affiliation in the 20 to 30 percent range, at such low levels not seen since the 1960s in states like Virginia, Florida, North Carolina and which then place Obama ahead. "

McLaughlin is seeing what we are seeing. It's too bad some of us easily get confused and feel defeated by the Dem bull.

[SunkenCiv]

Thanks Red Steel.

[Red Badger]

http://www.oldielyrics.com/lyrics/the_four_tops/reach_out_ill_be_there.html

[Kolath]

This is the heart of the matter....money shots....

http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/327856/measuring-undecideds-jim-geraghty

MEASURING THE UNDECIDEDS

(snip)

Democratic pollster Peter Hart and Republican pollster Bill McInturff conducted the NBC News/Wall Street Journal survey and isolated the respondents whom they classified as “up for grabs” — either undecided or leaning only slightly to one of the candidates. Several demographic indicators suggest that the remaining voters are ripe for the picking for Romney: 68 percent are white, 57 percent are married, 53 percent are men, 70 percent think the country is headed in the wrong direction, and 60 percent disapprove of how Obama is doing his job.

(snip)

What tends to happen is the vote decision is driven by two things,” McInturff said. “Your feeling about the direction of the country — where 70 percent say the country is on the wrong track — and their feelings about the president’s performance, which is very negative. I don’t think Romney will get 100 percent of this vote, but I do think a chunk will vote and they will disproportionately break to Romney.”

(snip)
Just about any Republican presidential candidate would be thrilled to face an election where victory comes down to persuading white married voters who think the country is on the wrong track and the Democratic incumbent is disappointing to vote for him.

[Jet Jaguar]

Bump

[smokingfrog]

bump

[Red Steel]

You’re welcome SC. :-)

[ncalburt]

Four years of Axelrod threatening and eliminating media people who would threaten his 2012 reelection psych ops strategy and look what we get.

I wonder how many difficult /honest media were destroyed by Axelrod and Team Obama to get total obedience you see now. I give credit to Fox for firing Major Garret after he was seen attending Axelrod birthdays and private parties.
But evil Axelrod found him a spot to spread their lies at the left wing National Journal, a subsidiary of the WH PR machine.

[TheLawyerFormerlyKnownAsAl]

I have had my suspicions about Garrett. Is Laura Ingraham still giving him a forum?

[Eye of Unk]

I ignore any poll and it doesn’t matter who from, left, center or right each has its own agenda and 2012 should be the last year polls are used, they should be banned outright.

[Frank_2001]

“Modern lingo is just stupid IMO. “

Agreed!!! Every service involving a computer is a “solution”, and any rapid rate of change is “skyrocketing”. UGH!!!

[ncalburt]

I have not found her radio anywhere now so have no idea.
Thankfully obama troll Major got the big hook.

[SunkenCiv]

I like to listen to “A Lotus On Irish Streams” at work.

[CaptainK]

Is that what happened to Major Garret? I thought he quit Fox.

[Terry Mross]

In 1992 when there was only CNN and the alphabet networks, Ross Perot was at 31% and Clinton and Bush were in the high 20s. Overnight it flipped and Perot slipped down to something like 26%. Perot’s campaign manager called CNN and they told him they stopped counting people who did not vote in the last election whether they were voting in 1992 or not. Bottom line is a big chunk of Perot’s support was from people who didn’t intend to vote until he got in. Now CNN wasn’t counting them.

This is not an argument for or against Perot. What I’m pointing out is this was happening in 1992. The media folks who do the polls are make them come out the way they want them to. And sadly, probably 20% of the voters want to pick a winner so they go with the polls.