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New Mexico Poll (045, R40, J7)
ABQ Journal ^

Posted on 09/09/2012 12:30:49 PM PDT by Arthurio

The presidential race in New Mexico may be more competitive than national pundits and polls have suggested.

According to a Journal Poll, President Barack Obama appears to have a small lead over Republican Mitt Romney in New Mexico, but Obama has not topped 50 percent, and 8 percent of voters were undecided in a close race with nine weeks remaining.

Obama drew support from 45 percent of the New Mexico voters surveyed between Sept. 3 and Sept. 6, while Romney stayed within striking distance at 40 percent.

Former New Mexico Gov. Gary Johnson, the Libertarian Party candidate for president, who also will be on the Nov. 6 ballot, had 7 percent support. Johnson subtracted almost equal numbers of votes from Obama and Romney, according to the poll, meaning his third-party candidacy was not more damaging to one than the other.

(Excerpt) Read more at abqjournal.com ...


TOPICS: US: New Mexico
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; nm2012
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1 posted on 09/09/2012 12:30:50 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: Arthurio

Johnson is the only strict-constructionist on the ballot...but we must all pretend that Romney is a conservative so that the winner has an R after his name.


2 posted on 09/09/2012 12:33:14 PM PDT by gorush (History repeats itself because human nature is static)
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To: gorush

Garry Johnson is not even getting Wayne Allen Root’s vote.


3 posted on 09/09/2012 12:37:09 PM PDT by Perdogg
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To: LS; SoFloFreeper; AuH2ORepublican

ping


4 posted on 09/09/2012 12:38:36 PM PDT by Perdogg
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To: gorush

Johnson has not chance to win the state or the presidency - who do you prefer, Obama or Romney?


5 posted on 09/09/2012 12:38:42 PM PDT by Mentos
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To: gorush

Johnson has not chance to win the state or the presidency - who do you prefer, Obama or Romney?


6 posted on 09/09/2012 12:38:50 PM PDT by Mentos
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To: Arthurio

Were Johnson not in the race, I’m sure his vote would split 50/50 between Romney and Obama. Or they just wouldn’t vote for President at all. So Johnson isn’t really a spoiler here.


7 posted on 09/09/2012 12:39:11 PM PDT by risen_feenix
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To: Mentos

gd double post


8 posted on 09/09/2012 12:39:55 PM PDT by Mentos
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To: gorush



9 posted on 09/09/2012 12:40:22 PM PDT by tomkat
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To: Mentos

Neither one will reverse our inevitable collapse into third world status. We lost that war decades ago.


10 posted on 09/09/2012 12:40:50 PM PDT by gorush (History repeats itself because human nature is static)
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To: risen_feenix

Hard to say. A close election could come down to a few votes.


11 posted on 09/09/2012 12:48:46 PM PDT by 9YearLurker
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To: gorush
Johnson is the only strict-constructionist on the ballot...but we must all pretend that Romney is a conservative so that the winner has an R after his name.

We have a 2 party system. You may not like that we have a 2 party system, but it is what it is. The one and only time in US history a major political party completely collapsed, a new party replaced it as the 2nd leg of our 2 party system. Johnson has zero chance to win. The next president will be Obama or Romney. Which one do you prefer? Any vote you cast that is not Romney/Ryan helps maintain the status quo with Obama/Biden in office. If you are a supporter of Libertarians, perhaps you are on the wrong forum?

12 posted on 09/09/2012 12:49:27 PM PDT by Longbow1969
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To: tomkat
"Johnson is the only strict-constructionist on the ballot...but we must all pretend that Romney is a conservative so that the winner has an R after his name."

How is that statement quixotic?

13 posted on 09/09/2012 12:50:03 PM PDT by gorush (History repeats itself because human nature is static)
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To: Longbow1969

I don’t disagree with any of what you’ve said. I guess you assume from my statement that I will vote for Johnson even though that was never stated. Don’t you hate it when people put words into your mouth?


14 posted on 09/09/2012 12:51:52 PM PDT by gorush (History repeats itself because human nature is static)
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To: gorush

Unfortunately I can’t disagree. I’d like to slow it down as much as posible for my kid’s sake.


15 posted on 09/09/2012 12:53:11 PM PDT by Mentos
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To: gorush

It seemed to me your post was advocating for a vote for Johnson. If I misinterpreted that, I certainly do apologize.


16 posted on 09/09/2012 12:56:58 PM PDT by Longbow1969
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To: Arthurio

There are a lot of potheads in NM, I’m not sure they would be voting for Romney even if Johnson weren’t on the ticket.

I think the odds that Johnson is drawing equally from both candidates is actually pretty high.


17 posted on 09/09/2012 1:01:02 PM PDT by Truthsearcher
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To: Arthurio
.... In a close election this is the type of math that will almost guarantee a second term for the Prez. He could easily win the election with numbers in the low 40 percentile of votes or even lower if the fates are favoring him.

The largest chunk of the remainder of votes would of course be garnered by Mr. Romney .... with the rest split amongst the candidates that drew votes from those voting on principle and single issues.

Sadly ..... Without a planned strategy by the GOP and Conservatives and Libertarians to work as a team and rally behind the one single candidate that can defeat the incumbent ..... it will more than likely end up with the unsavory prospect of a second term for the one that seeks to undo the greatness of this country.

This, of course, does not have to be the fateful outcome of this election ..... well, that is,...... if we could actually do something that is extremely difficult for the Libertarians, GOP and Conservatives to do ....... that thing being .... working together as a team to achieve the single objective of defeating the President.

18 posted on 09/09/2012 1:03:30 PM PDT by R_Kangel ( "A Nation of Sheep ..... Will Beget ..... a Nation Ruled by Wolves.")
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To: Arthurio

This state is very winnable.

First, the undecideds will break for Romney.
Second, about half of Johnson’s vote will also break for Romney.

The prospect of a neo-Marxist being re-elected President will sober up a lot of people who would prefer Johnson over Romney, but recognize Johnson doesn’t a chance of winning.

Third, potentially ALL the votes doing to Romney AND Johnson will go to the GOP candidate in the Senate race. Johnson, by helping get libertarians to the poll may cost us a few votes in the Presidential race, but will definitely help us in the downticket races.


19 posted on 09/09/2012 1:04:19 PM PDT by Redmen4ever
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To: Truthsearcher

Republicans should have a fighting chance with the stoner vote. Two days ago, in Colorado, Paul Ryan put down a marker on the issue of the federal government deferring to the states in the matter of medical marijuana. In New Hampshire, the Republican-controlled state legislature passed a medical marijuana bill only to see it vetoed by the Democratic governor. In this year’s election, the Republican candidate for Governor says he will sign such a bill if elected.


20 posted on 09/09/2012 1:08:48 PM PDT by Redmen4ever
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