Reaal Clear Politics on their Electoral Map just moved Wisconsin froms Leans Obama to Toss-Up. This is based on a Daily Kos poll (!) which shows Obama as +1 in Wisc.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html
Click on a state to see the most recent polls.
The Scott Walker effect?
This is excellent news!!!
If the Recall of Scott Walker, in WI, fails on June 5th, I guarantee you that it will deflate the Dem voter turn-out on November 6th. Depression does strange things to people. I expect Obama to lose Wisconsin.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html
Looked at your link for real clear politics. I do not understand why they are calling AZ a tossup state.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/az/arizona_romney_vs_obama-1757.html