Posted on 05/15/2012 6:29:41 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper
(Excerpt) Read more at electionresults.sos.ne.gov ...
New results: with 91/1785 precincts reporting:
Bruning has 39.36% of the vote
Fischer has 34.37% of the vote
What does that mean? Which is the conservative?
Something else interesting to note: roughly 17,000 votes have been cast in the Democrat primary for the U.S. Senate...but only 13,500 votes for the Democrat primary for the President.
This means 3,500 Democrats in Nebraska don’t even care enough about Obama’s re-election that they didn’t even cast a ballot...not definitive, but it sure doesn’t show an energized Democrat base.
Obama took one or two electoral votes from Nebraska in 2008. I bet that doesn’t happen in 2012.
I think Deb Fischer is and that Sarah Palin endorsed her (but not sure)
re: “but it sure doesn’t show an energized Democrat base.”
I agree, especially when you see that 32,000 republicans have voted in the primary so far, and only about 17,000 on the Dems side.
Can you confirm that the vote requires 50% +1 to avoid a run off and if no one gets it, it’s the top 2 vote getters?
Someone will correct me if this isn’t right but I think Fischer is the Conservative (that Palin endorsed) and Bruning is the GOPe choice.
Deb Fisher is, in fact, the person Palin endorsed.
It would have been nice if the results showed the results of individual races - Rep vs Dem.
It’s the same ol thing. Couple of conservative new comers dividing the conservative majority and the establishment guy sailing in for a win with a whooping 39%.
Bruning has 39.36% of the vote Fischer has 34.37% of the vote (about 5% difference)
With 126/1785 precincts reporting:
Bruning has 38.60% of the vote Fischer has 35.41% of the vote (She's gaining! Only 3.2% difference)
He hasn’t won yet! In fact I just did a refresh and she’s only 1% behind now!
“What does that mean? Which is the conservative?”
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Both Fischer (endorsed by Palin recently) and Stenberg (endorsed by DeMint earlier) are both Tea Party conservatives. Bruning is the GOPe candidate. If things don’t turn around soon, Fischer & Stenberg will split the anti-GOPe vote (which is the majority of the vote) and allow Bruning to waltz into an undeserved victory.
I’m not a happy camper right now.
Oh Crap, now she’s behind 8% all of the sudden! This is going to be an interesting night!
Obama now has 6,000 votes less than the number of votes for the Dem Senate race. That means 6000 people so far have not cared enough to vote for Bamby! Not a good sign for the Bamster!
Now with 475/11785 reporting she has closed again to within 3%. Geez I live in New Mexico, but this is nerve wracking! I’d really like to see Deb pull it off and beat the GOPe guy!
Jon Bruning is still ahead, but it’s important to watch the county-by-county results. Douglas County (Omaha) consists of about 40% of the toal vote and it’s Bruning’s home base (he was a state Senator there once). Many of the rural counties haven’t been counted at all yet.
http://electionresults.sos.ne.gov/resultsCTY.aspx?type=SW&rid=651&pty=REP&osn=102&map=CTY
The map is crazy. It shows counties with zero precincts reporting, and yet has a percentage listed for the candidates.
But of the counties with any precincts reporting so far, the only one that Bruning is winning is Cedar County, up north. Douglas County has no precincts reporting yet.
See http://electionresults.sos.ne.gov/resultsSW.aspx?text=Race&type=SW&map=CTY
Deb has just taken a slight lead with 50% reporting.
Just over half the precincts in and she’s AHEAD 400 votes!
Can someone PLEASE answer the earlier question: is there a RUNOFF for the top 2 if no one gets 50% + 1?
Very close. As the GOP needs new young blood I was hoping Bruning would end up being a star but the more I read about him the less I liked him. But we can’t afford to lose that seat, especially to someone like Kerrey. Looks like Stenberg is out so if anyone beats Bruning it will be Fischer. Will she be favored in the general election? I sure hope so.
Excellent news, with nearly half the precincts reporting, Deb Fischer has pulled slightly ahead.
Douglas County now has 184/185 precincts in, so it is practically done.
And Fischer now has a very slight overall lead with 908/1785 precincts counted.
Nope, no run off for this Nebraska race. Whoever gets the most votes wins.
“Douglas County now has 184/185 precincts in, so it is practically done.”
Good point. Douglas County is Jon Bruning’s home base. The counties that haven’t reported are mostly areas where Deb Fischer is strong. I’m confident now.
53% of precincts have reported but less than 13% of the votes reported/counted so far.
More than twice as many votes cast in the GOP Senate primary. Looks good, though the Dem race wasn’t as hotly contested I guess. Speaking of the Dems I think that Chuck Hassebrook guy really got treated badly, especially after Kerrey told him he would not run, and that he would support Hassebrook! Then days later Kerrey changed his mind. Shows he can’t keep his word.
Deb Fischer seems to be pulling away now. Could be quite a victory for Tea Party forces. I just hope she is strong for the general election.
HUGE kudos to Sarah Palin if Fischer pulls this out. The polls DRAMATICALLY turned around 2 days after her endorsement.
53% of precincts have reported but less than 13% of the votes reported/counted so far.
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
Yeah - I just noticed that, too. What does that mean? How can a precinct report but the votes not yet be counted?
Do we have another Iowa straw poll on our hands?
I’m sure the Bastard Rove still has a few tricks to share on how to steal an election.
Meanwhile with 1095/1785 precincts in Deb Fischer leads by 3200 votes!
That graph clearly refers to overall turnout. The 1,136,402 must mean the # of registered voters. The entire state only has a population of 1.8 million. Don't expect that to get above say 50% tonight.
It’s still very close with over 60% reporting, but momentum seems to be on Fischer’s side. She currently leads by about 3,200 votes (2.5%).
Another page on SOS site confirms 1,136,402 is indeed the number of registered voters. So the % listed by it is a turnout measure.
None of Omaha’s precincts have reported yet though. Last I checked half of Lincoln’s were in. Those are Sodom and Gomorrah; it’s always a question of whether the rural folks can muster enough votes to neutralize those 2 cities.
I was encouraged, though, that my county (Saline) went for Fischer. This county is largely democrats but at least it seems the R’s that ARE here have seen past Bruning.
Could be a long night. I sure hope she can pull it off.
What ? Douglas has 184/185 precincts reported in.
With 66% in Fischer has close to 50,000 votes in the GOP primary while Kerrey has only 42,000 in the Demo race. Now it looks like 3 times as many votes were cast in the Republican primary so that is a good sign.
“Deb Fischer seems to be pulling away now. Could be quite a victory for Tea Party forces. I just hope she is strong for the general election.”
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She polls way ahead of Kerrey in preliminary polls. It should be a cake walk for her if she wins the primary. And you guys are right—big kudos for Palin for this one. It’s still early, but I’m beginning to feel better about this race now.
How does Lancaster county lean? That appears to have the biggest outstanding number of votes of the counties on the Sec of States website.
Glad to hear she is ahead of Kerrey. I thought since Bruning and Stenberg had statewide election experience that they might be stronger. It will be good to have another conservative (presumably pro life) woman senator.
Fischer lost Douglas by ~3000 votes. She’s currently up ~5000 votes. But Lancaster County has more precincts than Douglas.
I’m calling it for Fischer. She’s up by 4% with almost all of Douglas County (Omaha) in and with all of suburban Sarpy County in; Lancaster County (Lincoln) is only half in, but Bruning is barely ahead of Fischer there. A lot of Western Nebraska (Fischer’s strongest area) is still out, including all of Buffalo County. I think that Fischer will win by at least 5%.
Just one week ago, this result would have been unimaginable. This is a huge victory for grassroots conservatives. Hopefully, a bit of this will rub off on Utah, Texas and Florida primary voters.
These kinds of elections have national importance! I’m in New Mexico and I can’t stop watching this race! Praying to Fischer!
Fischer is over 40% now, with 1272/1785 precincts counted.
How does Lancaster county lean
However Rove wants them to lean.
If Deb wins, and she looks like she’s going to pull it out, don’t forget to send a thank-you to Eric Holder. Bruening had this locked up, until the stories started to come out a few weeks ago that he had endorsed Holder, AND STILL CONTINUED TO SUPPORT HIM..and when he refused to recant, well, the tide turned..
Kudos indeed! And, it'd be almost worth turning on the TV to see Rove and the rest of the GOPe explain this one away.
“Deb Fischer seems to be pulling away now. Could be quite a victory for Tea Party forces. I just hope she is strong for the general election.”
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She polls way ahead of Kerrey in preliminary polls. It should be a cake walk for her if she wins the primary. And you guys are right—big kudos for Palin for this one. It’s still early, but I’m beginning to feel better about this race now.
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
If Fischer’s momentum holds and she wins tonight, I suspect Palin will be back in force.
You betcha!
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