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To: radioone

“based on telephone interviews conducted May 10, 2012, on the Gallup Daily tracking survey, with a random sample of 1,013 adults, aged 18 and older”

This is a useless poll as far as the election is concerned. Just adults. I bet the results would be a lot different with likely voters, or even registered voters.


18 posted on 05/11/2012 3:02:04 PM PDT by WILLIALAL
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To: WILLIALAL; radioone
Based on the Gallup poll of May 10, 2012 - question number two:

2.) "Does President Obama’s support for same-sex marriage make you more likely to vote for him, less likely to vote for him, or doesn’t it make any difference?"

The Gallup poll data for this poll:

Poll Information
Gallup
05/10/12
MOE 4.0%
1013 Adults



From the Gallup Poll, May 10, 2012 PDF file.

Demographics Republican Democrat Independent Poll Numbers
Less Likely 52.0% 10.0% 23.0% Less Likely: 26.00%
More Likely 2.0% 24.0% 11.0% More Likely: 13.00%
No Difference 46.0% 65.0% 63.0% No Difference: 60.00%
Do not know: 0.00% 1.00% 3.00% Do not know: 2.00%
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Total: 100.0%



The below table which was derived via Excel Solver, and when the data is rounded to plus or minus 0.49% to a simple two digit number, it matches the above published Gallup poll data.

Demographics Republican Democrat Independent Poll Numbers
Less Likely 51.6% 10.5% 23.1% Less Likely: 25.57%
More Likely 2.0% 23.7% 10.7% More Likely: 13.23%
No Difference 46.0% 64.7% 63.4% No Difference: 59.62%
Do not know: 0.40% 1.10% 2.74% Do not know: 1.58%
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Total: 100.0%



which yields a solution set for the absent Gallup poll political ID breakdown, now shown for Republican, Democrat and Independents as follows:

All Adults
Republican 248 24.48%
Democrat 363 35.83%
Independent 402 39.68%
Total: 1013 100.00%



dvwjr bottom align=24All Adults21 size=

33 posted on 05/11/2012 7:44:56 PM PDT by dvwjr (Gallup)
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