2.) "Does President Obama’s support for same-sex marriage make you more likely to vote for him, less likely to vote for him, or doesn’t it make any difference?"
The Gallup poll data for this poll:
From the Gallup Poll, May 10, 2012 PDF file.
The below table which was derived via Excel Solver, and when the data is rounded to plus or minus 0.49% to a simple two digit number, it matches the above published Gallup poll data.
which yields a solution set for the absent Gallup poll political ID breakdown, now shown for Republican, Democrat and Independents as follows:
dvwjr bottom align=24All Adults21 size=
WOW. Great analysis on this pollaganda!
25% GOP and 36% Dem is a sample that is 10% skewed for Obama, and it is also an ‘Adult’ not ‘likely voter’ poll. This poll is biased towards making it look better for Obama than it really is.
I dont believe for a second the GOP “less likely” number, this is from people who were not going to vote for him anyway, but it is probable this will solidify GOP opposition. Likewise, the Democrat “more likely” is probably votes he would get any way.
The real clue is that the independent numbers are 2X in the less likely than more likely. 23% vs 10%.
Obama has lost independent voters and solidified GOP opposition, all so he could pander to the left wing social liberals he already has in his pocket. Wow, does any of us want that strategic brilliant mind (sarc alert) as our CinC???!?
Great job and typical of these polls. Only likely voters count and then only when they become actual voters.
This is for certain a calculated move by Obama who was hemorrhaging wealthy homosexual donors who aren’t afraid of a Romney Presidency. He’ll at least be better on their pocketbook.