IMHO if it ever reaches that point, NONE of the current 4 remaining candidates will be the one.
We will be STUCK w/ Jebby Bushie(PUKE)!!
In a divided convention, Santorum or perhaps Gingrich have a chance. In a brokered convention, it will be Romney, or if they panic, Jeb Bush. A brokered convention means that the GOP-E is calling all the shots.
Rick’s got bigger problems than this. A brokered convention isn’t going to help him.
Why do people keep suggesting California is WTA? It is WTA by CD, and there are at least 15 CD’s Santorum would easily win.
Also, memo to Texas. If you’re going late in the game anyway, why not move your primary to June 5 or June 19 where you can either offset CA/NJ or UT?
Sanatorium will not be the candidate from a brokered convention. Newt would be more likely, I think, but I wouldn’t bet on him, either.
>> IMHO if it ever reaches that point, NONE of the current 4 remaining candidates will be the one.
I suspect you’re right, for the POTUS slot, although one of the three remaining real candidates (not Paul) may end up on the ticket.
In the Unlikely (IMHO) scenario of a brokered convention, who do you think will be chosen?
Who I’d like is Sarah Palin.
I’d settle for Newt.
I learned this yesterday, when carefully reading Kkkkarl Rove's Feb WSJ Op-Ed, where he says the chance of a "brokered" convention is close to zero, but the chance of a contested convention is not.
A brokered convention would see a new candidate--someone other than Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney or Rick Santorum--enter the remaining primaries or parachute in during the convention (if no existing candidate has secured a majority of delegates). ...A contested convention, on the other hand, would see no dark horse enter but none of the existing candidates arrive in Tampa with a 1,144 majority of delegates. Lots of wheeling and dealing would ensue, and after several ballots a nominee would emerge from the four current candidates.
“who do you think will be chosen? “
I get this creepy feeling that Ron Paul might have a chance after watching the attempted stealth takeover at our GOP convention this weekend.
The beauty with having a brokered convention is that it will occur after the dem convention and we’ll see what changes, if any the democrats make.
If polling is looking bad for Obama he might add Hillary to the ticket. It would be awkward for him to make the switch if the GOP has a brokered convention and he’s suddenly up against the Palin-West team.
Saint Rick is dreaming if he believes he can win a brokered convention. He can’t even win his home states.
Everybody, check out this article. It explains a little bit about bound and unbound, brokered and open.
At this point, no matter if we have a 2 man race or a 4 man race, neither Santorum or Gingrich will be able to secure the nomination before convention. I say that they all stay in, take as many delegates as they can, keep Mitt from clinching and then make a deal right before the Convention, combine their delegates and decide who takes the lead. Of course, we still have the bound and unbound issue to deal with, as well as the Super Delegates. Question is, just how far is the Establishment willing to go to force Mitt on us?
If a truly brokered convention is the result, and none of the four left is the nominee it will not be Jeb Bush.
Does Santorum "take one for the team" and putting Romney over the top in exchange for the VP slot.
I love how when Santorum abandons his stated principles, he's "taking one for the team." Nothing's ever his failing or responsibility, kinda like Obama.
This analysis makes sense to me. In other words:
The Romney game plan is to win 1144 delegates before the convention, the Santorum game plan is to keep that from happening.
Romney. They aren't going to give it to someone who hasn't spent time in the primaries. Little chance that they'd give it to Newt, and zero chance that they'd give it to Santorum or Paul.
They'll give it to Romney, and force him to pick someone as Veep who they think will mollify "the base" in exchange for the base going along with the mess.
Prepare to be told that Romney and _______ (insert marginally acceptable Veep candidate here) is the best they could do and that we should be thrilled with the situation.
Further, be prepared to be beat about the head and neck with calls for "party unity" in exchange for (maybe) a nod or two to conservatives when the platform is written.