Why do people keep suggesting California is WTA? It is WTA by CD, and there are at least 15 CD’s Santorum would easily win.
Also, memo to Texas. If you’re going late in the game anyway, why not move your primary to June 5 or June 19 where you can either offset CA/NJ or UT?
Memo to parksstp. Texas has no control over its primary date. Texas elections are under the control of Federal Judges Orlando Garcia, Xavier Rodrigues, and US Attorneys Holder and Perez. It is (almost) that simple.
Correct about California. Nobody but the creme de la creme of the experts seems to be able to keep the various delegate allocation rules straight in these articles. According to RCP, NJ might also be WTA by district, but so was SC which was a blowout for Newt.
The article is absolutely right though that Ron Paul is the only one organizing delegates, enough to take over some county conventions where he certainly did not get a majority of the vote (e.g. Georgia). Anecdotally the Ron Paul people seem to be saying Romney backers are also going for delegates, but the Santorum and Newt people are asleep at the wheel. Getting delegates mean organization. The same reason Newt and Rick couldn’t get on all the ballots is what’s going to make it hard for them to win any delegate war at the convention.
As I’ve said before, with over half the upcoming states being subject to various winner-take-all rules, either Newt or Rick dropping out should net the remaining guy 100-200 delegates, all taken from Romney. That’s the only way they might have enough leverage to defeat Romney in a floor fight.