Posted on 03/02/2012 10:35:21 AM PST by SeekAndFind
Rasmussen corroborates the Q-poll from earlier today showing that Mitt Romney has made up significant ground on Rick Santorum in the key Super Tuesday state of Ohio. While Quinnipiac conducted its survey from Tuesday through Thursday this week, Rasmussen conducted its survey of 750 likely voters entirely yesterday. Two weeks after being 18 points behind Santorum in Ohio, Rasmussen now has him within two:
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Primary Voters in Ohio, taken last night, shows former U.S. Senator Rick Santorum attracting 33% of the vote and Mitt Romney earning 31%. Thats a significant tightening of the race. Two weeks ago, Santorum led Romney by 18 percentage points.
Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich is now in third place with 15% of the vote, and Texas Congressman Ron Paul runs last with 11% support. Two percent (2%) prefer another candidate, and eight percent (8%) remain undecided.
Conventional wisdom is that the continuing candidacy of Newt Gingrich helps Romney, but Rasmussen finds that Romney does slightly better when Gingrich is taken out of the equation:
If its a two-man race, Santorum and Romney are tied at 43% each. That, too, represents a huge change. Two weeks ago, Santorum led Romney by 28 points in a head-to-head matchup in Ohio.
The crosstabs are similar to those in the Q-poll this morning. There is almost no difference between men and women and the overall margin, so Santorum has no “gender gap” in Ohio. Santorum does better among younger voters, while Romney has a 15-point edge among seniors. The split between “very conservative” and “somewhat conservative” are nearly mirror images again, 45/25 for Santorum among the former and 42/24 for Romney among the latter. Santorum wins Republicans by three, while Romney wins independents by three. The one interesting difference between the two is that Santorum was winning the highest income group in the Q-poll, while he trails Romney in Rasmussen by six among those who earn more than $100K.
The race is still obviously in flux, and it should be a nailbiter this weekend. Both men have about the same favorability rating in Rasmussen as well as Quinnipiac (66/31 Romney, 67/29 Santorum), so that won’t be a hinge for late-breaking deciders. The biggest factor that could come into play from the Rasmussen poll is the candidate strength question, which Romney wins 45/25 and gets a consensus double-digit lead across almost all demos (only a four-point lead among very conservative voters and two points among Tea Party voters, however). Santorum will have to make the case in Ohio that he’s better positioned to beat Barack Obama in the fall, especially since a plurality of 49% say that’s the most important quality in choosing a nominee.
Is Ohio proportional or winner-take-all?
Santorum has GOT to hit Romney on Obamacare. Romney will never repeal it and it will kill our economy. All Romney’s “business experience” will mean squat if Obamacare stays.
I am waiting to get a Romney-the-RINO staffer to call me, so I can let them know what I REALLY THINK OF THE DILDO.
I am waiting to get a Romney-the-RINO staffer to call me, so I can let them know what I REALLY THINK OF THE DILDO.
I suspect that OH voters will lack the ability to resist robocalls from Mittens Romney. They’re just like that in OH, keeping sending Boehner back to do nothing but shed a few tears.
“Santorum has GOT to hit Romney on........”
First, Rick has to stop hitting himself.
Two weeks ago Rasm had Rick 42 over Mitt 24... Romney’s gain is only because Rick has been ‘throwing up’ on himself.
Hmmmm, Newt is slowly rising up in the polls. GO NEWT GO!
ROFL
I am so sick and disgusted with this swindling slime by Mitt Romney.
GOP Primary blunders beginning to look like Obstruction
The blunders and delays in declaring the winner and allocation of delegates are looking more than coincidental - the more frequently occur. They all benefit Mitt Romney
Ohio is proportional but becomes winner take all if someone gets 50%.
However I believe Santorum failed to get on the ballot in a couple of Congressional Districts and automatically loses those delegates.
I don't like Boehner, either, but he's not in my District. Remember, Ohio has a District that kept sending Kookcinich back, too, but the Re-Districting has him now pitted for a single seat since one was lost, and he's in a Primary battle with Marcy Kaptur....the parasites vote (D), and don't care WHO they get, as long as they're a (D). Republicans tend to be more selective in who they vote for, and RINO's are at risk.
Or so it would seem from the massive media coverage on every word out of his mouth. What about Romney saying he didn't want to interfere with the contraception issue? Where are all the talking heads beating him to death over that statement?
At least conservatives should recognize the Palinization of Santorum and not repeat the crap that comes from the left.
I expect Romney to win Ohio by at least 5 points as Santorum continues his inexorable slide to oblivion.
At this point everyone knows the candidates position on Obamacare/Romneycare. They know the candidates histories.
They also know who they do and do not like.
People are de-friending Santorum at a rapid clip.
They don't like him. There's no going back from that.
And there’s no going back to Newt, as just about EVERY single poll has shown: Santorum drops, Romney gains.
I warned you and you didn’t listen. It’s people like you that stuck us with Romney, putting emphasis on 1 stupid debate like it was American Idol. People like you have screwed us all. Thanks a lot.
Got another?
Dude.
Don't blame me for Santorum. The guy is an embarrassment to the entire GOP.
Besides I have not placed a vote yet. Did you vote in the FLA primary? Did you vote for Santorum?
It would be interesting to see how the old draft avoider does among veterans.
I suppose people like you, who've tried to shove the unvetted, angry, sanctimonious Santorum down our throats were innocent bystanders?
You made the bridge-burning play, you live with the mess you made.
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