Tomorrow's results will tell us which poll is more accurate.
Arizona: The state that gave us the last Terrific GOP nominee !
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Romney | Santorum | Paul | Gingrich | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 2/23 - 2/26 | -- | -- | 37.8 | 35.3 | 12.3 | 10.0 | Romney +2.5 |
| PPP (D) | 2/26 - 2/26 | 421 LV | 4.8 | 39 | 37 | 13 | 9 | Romney +2 |
| Mitchell/Rosetta Stone | 2/26 - 2/26 | 858 LV | 3.3 | 35 | 37 | 8 | 9 | Santorum +2 |
| WeAskAmerica | 2/26 - 2/26 | 984 LV | 3.1 | 37 | 33 | 18 | 13 | Romney +4 |
Why don’t the “Republicans’ in AZ just admit they are Democrats and leave the GOP? They add absolutely no value to the party.
Wonder if Mittens made a sizable donation to Gov. Jan for her recent endorsement. Blechhhhh =(
ARG also has Santorum leading Romney in Michigan, 37-35.
The PPP poll is a very small sample, only 421 LVs with nearly a 5% margin of error.
The other current poll that shows Romney ahead (by 4) is WE ASK AMERICA, which inflates Paul’s numbers to 18% and Newt’s to 13% even though both have abandoned the state. This one is really fishy, since there is no way that nearly a third of the Michigan electorate is going to waste its time going to the polls to vote for two candidates who admit they can’t win or even come in second there adn both of whom have abandoned the state.
The Mitchell Rosetta Stone poll is the only one of the three to have polled last week (and had Romney ahead by two on Thursday). It sampled 358 likely voters, more than twice PPP’s sample. In comparing their data then and now, they detect an unmistakable trend to Santorum which has put hiim ahead 37-35. They assess Paul’s and Gingrich’s strength in single digits, where it most likely is. Its poll has 11% undecided, and these undecideds shlud break heavily in Santorum’s favor since Romney is a known (and despised) quantity.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2012/Mitchell_RosettaStone_MI_0227.pdf
Pretty impressive Newt’s close to Rick and beating him in the Tea Party vote in AZ without even campaigning there. Could be the start of a new batch of Newtmentum.
So why does Romney do so well with seniors here and in FL? Is it because as soon as any candidate mentions reforming Social Security they get written off? Heaven forbid people should care enough about their grandkids to get them off of a broken entitlement system.
Presidential candidate Rick Santorum has big lead in Tennessee, poll shows
http://tfponline.com/news/2012/feb/27/presidential-candidate-rick-santorum-has-big-lead-/?local
I posted this in another poll thread but I think it’s worth repeating...
I’m hoping Sarah Palin will go on Fox News tonight and deliver one of her “if I were a Michigan voter, I’d probably vote for Rick Santorum to keep this process going” endorsements. If she does, I’m convinced that will give Santorum the edge he needs to chalk up Michigan in the win column!
"Santorum Retakes Lead in Michigan (Santorum 37%, Romney 35%)