ARG also has Santorum leading Romney in Michigan, 37-35.
The PPP poll is a very small sample, only 421 LVs with nearly a 5% margin of error.
The other current poll that shows Romney ahead (by 4) is WE ASK AMERICA, which inflates Paul’s numbers to 18% and Newt’s to 13% even though both have abandoned the state. This one is really fishy, since there is no way that nearly a third of the Michigan electorate is going to waste its time going to the polls to vote for two candidates who admit they can’t win or even come in second there adn both of whom have abandoned the state.
The Mitchell Rosetta Stone poll is the only one of the three to have polled last week (and had Romney ahead by two on Thursday). It sampled 358 likely voters, more than twice PPP’s sample. In comparing their data then and now, they detect an unmistakable trend to Santorum which has put hiim ahead 37-35. They assess Paul’s and Gingrich’s strength in single digits, where it most likely is. Its poll has 11% undecided, and these undecideds shlud break heavily in Santorum’s favor since Romney is a known (and despised) quantity.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2012/Mitchell_RosettaStone_MI_0227.pdf
Those if us voting for Newt certainly do not see it as wasting our time.
Neither of the other 2 offered much more than annoying ads during the 7 oclock hour.