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PPP: Romney with edge in Michigan, crushing lead in Arizona
Hotair ^ | 02/27/2012 | Ed Morrissey

Posted on 02/27/2012 6:08:31 AM PST by SeekAndFind

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These polls are all over the place in Michigan. The Rosetta Stone Poll has Santorum up by 2 but the PPP has him down by 2.

Tomorrow's results will tell us which poll is more accurate.

1 posted on 02/27/2012 6:08:35 AM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Arizona: The state that gave us the last Terrific GOP nominee !


2 posted on 02/27/2012 6:12:15 AM PST by Bainbridge
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To: Bainbridge

Arizona, where mormons vote mormon with no thought for the welfare of the country, just for the welfare of their religion. That is NOT conservatism!


3 posted on 02/27/2012 6:24:17 AM PST by greyfoxx39 (If mormonism is Christianity, then "off" is a TV channel.)
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To: SeekAndFind
It's all perception. Weeks ago it was thought if Romney doesn't win handily in Michigan he's done. Now the narrative is Santorum has to win Michigan. See how if we just shift expectations, a squeaker for Romney is now a triumph.
4 posted on 02/27/2012 6:38:09 AM PST by throwback ( The object of opening the mind, as of opening the mouth, is to shut it again on something solid.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Michigan appears to be very close based on these three polls from the same time period.

They are within the MOE. AZ appears to be out of reach for Santorum.

Polling Data

Poll Date Sample MoE Romney Santorum Paul Gingrich Spread
RCP Average 2/23 - 2/26 -- -- 37.8 35.3 12.3 10.0 Romney +2.5
PPP (D) 2/26 - 2/26 421 LV 4.8 39 37 13 9 Romney +2
Mitchell/Rosetta Stone 2/26 - 2/26 858 LV 3.3 35 37 8 9 Santorum +2
WeAskAmerica 2/26 - 2/26 984 LV 3.1 37 33 18 13 Romney +4

5 posted on 02/27/2012 6:43:04 AM PST by deport (..............God Bless Texas............)
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To: SeekAndFind

Why don’t the “Republicans’ in AZ just admit they are Democrats and leave the GOP? They add absolutely no value to the party.


6 posted on 02/27/2012 7:05:28 AM PST by txrefugee
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To: txrefugee
Why don’t the “Republicans’ in AZ just admit they are Democrats and leave the GOP? They add absolutely no value to the party.

And they can take Juan McShamnesty with 'em!


7 posted on 02/27/2012 7:08:16 AM PST by Jane Long (Soli Deo Gloria!)
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To: SeekAndFind

Wonder if Mittens made a sizable donation to Gov. Jan for her recent endorsement. Blechhhhh =(


8 posted on 02/27/2012 7:09:57 AM PST by Jane Long (Soli Deo Gloria!)
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To: SeekAndFind

ARG also has Santorum leading Romney in Michigan, 37-35.

The PPP poll is a very small sample, only 421 LVs with nearly a 5% margin of error.

The other current poll that shows Romney ahead (by 4) is WE ASK AMERICA, which inflates Paul’s numbers to 18% and Newt’s to 13% even though both have abandoned the state. This one is really fishy, since there is no way that nearly a third of the Michigan electorate is going to waste its time going to the polls to vote for two candidates who admit they can’t win or even come in second there adn both of whom have abandoned the state.

The Mitchell Rosetta Stone poll is the only one of the three to have polled last week (and had Romney ahead by two on Thursday). It sampled 358 likely voters, more than twice PPP’s sample. In comparing their data then and now, they detect an unmistakable trend to Santorum which has put hiim ahead 37-35. They assess Paul’s and Gingrich’s strength in single digits, where it most likely is. Its poll has 11% undecided, and these undecideds shlud break heavily in Santorum’s favor since Romney is a known (and despised) quantity.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2012/Mitchell_RosettaStone_MI_0227.pdf


9 posted on 02/27/2012 7:19:58 AM PST by Brices Crossroads
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To: SeekAndFind

Pretty impressive Newt’s close to Rick and beating him in the Tea Party vote in AZ without even campaigning there. Could be the start of a new batch of Newtmentum.

So why does Romney do so well with seniors here and in FL? Is it because as soon as any candidate mentions reforming Social Security they get written off? Heaven forbid people should care enough about their grandkids to get them off of a broken entitlement system.


10 posted on 02/27/2012 7:26:55 AM PST by JediJones (Watch "Gingrich to Michigan: Change or Die" on YouTube. Best Speech Ever!)
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To: greyfoxx39

Mitt’s hero Joseph Smith had his eye on the presidency.

While campaigning for President of the United States in 1844, Smith had opportunity to take political positions on issues of the day.[406] Smith considered the United States Constitution, and especially the Bill of Rights, to be inspired by God and “the Saints’ best and perhaps only defense.”[407] He believed a strong central government crucial to the nation’s well-being but thought democracy better than tyranny—although he also taught that a theocratic monarchy was the ideal form of government.[408] In foreign affairs, Smith was an expansionist, though he viewed “expansionism as brotherhood.”[409]

Smith favored a strong central bank and high tariffs to protect American business and agriculture. He disfavored imprisonment of convicts except for murder, preferring efforts to reform criminals through labor; he also opposed courts-martial for military deserters. He supported capital punishment but opposed hanging,[410] preferring execution by firing squad or beheading in order to “spill [the criminal’s] blood on the ground, and let the smoke thereof ascend up to God.”[411]

Despite having published a pro-slavery essay in 1836,[412] Smith later strongly opposed slavery.[413] During his presidential campaign, he proposed abolishing slavery by 1850 and compensating slaveholders[414] through sale of public lands.[415] Smith did not believe blacks to be genetically inferior to whites;[416] he welcomed both freemen and slaves into the church.[417] But he opposed baptizing slaves without permission of their masters, and he opposed miscegenation.[418]

Smith declared that he would be one of the instruments in fulfilling Nebuchadnezzar’s statue vision in the Book of Daniel: that secular government would be destroyed without “sword or gun”,[419] and would be replaced with a “theodemocratic” Kingdom of God.[420] Smith taught that this kingdom would be multidenominational and democratic so long as the people chose wisely.[421]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joseph_Smith,_Jr#Political_views


11 posted on 02/27/2012 7:29:05 AM PST by Right Ahead
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To: Brices Crossroads

Those if us voting for Newt certainly do not see it as wasting our time.

Neither of the other 2 offered much more than annoying ads during the 7 oclock hour.


12 posted on 02/27/2012 7:29:16 AM PST by VanDeKoik (If case you are wondering, I'm supporting Newt.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Presidential candidate Rick Santorum has big lead in Tennessee, poll shows

http://tfponline.com/news/2012/feb/27/presidential-candidate-rick-santorum-has-big-lead-/?local


13 posted on 02/27/2012 7:37:53 AM PST by jacknhoo (Luke 12:51. Think ye, that I am come to give peace on earth? I tell you, no; but separation.)
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To: SeekAndFind
crushing lead in Arizona

The same state that gave us McLame for another 6 years!!! What is happening down there in the land of Sheriff Joe?
14 posted on 02/27/2012 7:42:54 AM PST by Cheerio (Barry Hussein Soetoro-0bama=The Complete Destruction of American Capitalism)
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To: greyfoxx39

Non-Mormans also favoring Mittens in AZ.


15 posted on 02/27/2012 7:43:27 AM PST by chopperjc
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To: txrefugee
Why don’t the “Republicans’ in AZ just admit they are Democrats and leave the GOP?

NO, we are not RATS!!!! I did leave the GOP in 2006 during the Bush regime - you know that regime that would not defend anything it stood for while the RAT party continued it's full frontal attach on Bush.

I still usually vote with the GOP but do not support the GOP party and wish it would just roll over, die, and go the way of the Whigs.
16 posted on 02/27/2012 7:53:51 AM PST by Cheerio (Barry Hussein Soetoro-0bama=The Complete Destruction of American Capitalism)
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To: Cheerio
State has been taken over by east coast and west coast liberals moving in, locals do not stand a chance anymore, so you get the Juan McRino’s and the Mitt Romney's!
17 posted on 02/27/2012 8:24:30 AM PST by pogojones
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To: greyfoxx39
No it is not conservatism, it is STUPIDITY.

I am of a certain race/gender, and religion, but, if I ever were to put that as the criteria for selecting a President, my voter card should be pulled.

I THINK THEREFORE I AM A CONSERVATIVE. (and in that thinking, I am not thinking of self, but for the greatness of America and our childrens future.)

18 posted on 02/27/2012 8:31:28 AM PST by annieokie
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To: JediJones
"Heaven forbid people should care about their children"

SO TRUE, and it is disgusting. I am old, but that is all I think about, otherwise I would not give a damn about any election, I'm dying out.

Newt Gingrich has the perfect plan, that does not disrupt their SS checks, and yet these seniors are afraid??? How the heck did they live to be this old without thinking?

Makes me embarrassed to be associated with them. Selfish and self centered, with the "I got mine, you get yours", and "I'm spending their inheritance", attitudes.

19 posted on 02/27/2012 8:39:11 AM PST by annieokie
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To: throwback
Santorum is not really what he claims to be. He was all for Romney in this 2008 campaign photo.
20 posted on 02/27/2012 8:42:51 AM PST by PSYCHO-FREEP (If you come to a fork in the road, take it........)
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