-—”Newt supporters underestimate Rick Santorum and over estimate Newt in his ability to beat Romney and win this November.”-—
No such thing is happening. It is Santorum supporters who overestimate their candidate’s chances:
Here in IL, Rick will field no delegates.
He will field none in TN, either.
He is not on the ballot in IN
He is not on the ballot in DC
He is not on the ballot in VA
He will not field any delegates in ND
He is not on the ballot in 20% of OH
He could not even try to compete in the first big state of FL, and has already said as much about CA and NY.
The talking point from Rick supporters goes something like this: Through our sheer willpower, we will convince the states where Rick won’t field any delegates to just give them to Santorum anyway. Even though that never happens, it is only because nobody befire has been Rick Santorum!
Here’s the bad news: delegates are going to be pledged; and no matter how much you beg, they aren’t going to be assigned to Rick Santorum later just because you really want them to be. And really, in that above scenario, TN is the only one that assigns them later, anyway.
Rick CANNOT win the nomination. He CANNOT. There is no path to 1140+ delegates for him, period.
-—”Newt supporters underestimate Rick Santorum and over estimate Newt in his ability to beat Romney and win this November.”-—
No such thing is happening. It is Santorum supporters who overestimate their candidate’s chances:
Here in IL, Rick will field no delegates.
He will field none in TN, either.
He is not on the ballot in IN
He is not on the ballot in DC
He is not on the ballot in VA
He will not field any delegates in ND
He is not on the ballot in 20% of OH
He could not even try to compete in the first big state of FL, and has already said as much about CA and NY.
The talking point from Rick supporters goes something like this: Through our sheer willpower, we will convince the states where Rick won’t field any delegates to just give them to Santorum anyway. Even though that never happens, it is only because nobody befire has been Rick Santorum!
Here’s the bad news: delegates are going to be pledged; and no matter how much you beg, they aren’t going to be assigned to Rick Santorum later just because you really want them to be. And really, in that above scenario, TN is the only one that assigns them later, anyway.
Rick CANNOT win the nomination. He CANNOT. There is no path to 1140+ delegates for him, period.
I’ve seen Rick Santorum in action for the last 18 years and he’s a businesss as usual politician with links to the local Pennsylvania GOP “machine” and the national GOP-E through National Right To Life.
Rick’s the kind of “pro-life, pro-family” candidate acceptable to the “machine” that Sarah Palin talked about in her book “Going Rogue.”
I want Romney to lose everywhere even if it means voting for Paul in Virginia which is the only option there.
Romney needs to be knocked out, but Santorum is not the alternative to replace him in any way, shape or form.
Here in IL, Rick will field no delegates.
He will field none in TN, either.
He is not on the ballot in IN
He is not on the ballot in DC
He is not on the ballot in VA
He will not field any delegates in ND
He is not on the ballot in 20% of OH
Some Santorum posters are clueless. They criticize Newt for not being in a Missouri primary that awards no delegates. They claim it's proof that Newt doesn't deserve to be the nominee.
Yet their guy is eligible for less delegates.
It all comes down to news coverage and propaganda.
The media says nothing (for now) about Santorum not being eligible in a bunch of states. Yet they gave wide spread coverage about Newt not being eligible in a primary that awards no delegates.
Never say never. This is already an unusual election. Santorum could win the nom.