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To: TruthShallSetYouFree
I know you should play the percentages, but I still don't trust Tynes enough to put the SB on his foot.

I'm with Gilbride on this one.

30 posted on 02/06/2012 7:12:05 AM PST by OddLane (If Lionel Hutz and Guy Smiley had a lovechild together, his name would be "Mitt Romney." -KAJ)
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To: OddLane

What is the probability of Tynes missing the field goal?
What is the probability of Brady being able to score a touchdown with a timeout in hand and just under a minute to play?

My numbers are under 2% for a missed kick and over 10% for a Brady-led touchdown.

If you think that the probability of a missed kick is greater than the probability of a subsequent New England touchdown, then Bradshaw scoring is the right call. You’d have to really tweak the numbers to get there though.


31 posted on 02/06/2012 7:21:34 AM PST by TruthShallSetYouFree (How bad would an Obama II administration be, without the constraints of re-election?)
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